Recent Reports
Canadians more than two times as likely to favour the government financially supporting workers impacted by new US tariffs than not. (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
A majority of Canadians support or somewhat support the government financially supporting workers negatively impacted by new US tariffs even if it increased the deficit and the national debt. Of note, the intensity of support is highest among voters who are currently committed to the Liberals or the NDP. -Nik…
Canadians are four times more likely to be supportive than not of an East West pipeline. (CTV News/The Globe and Mail/Nanos)
A comfortable majority of Canadians favour an East-West pipeline for oil and liquified natural gas on with facilities on both coasts (58% support, 15% somewhat support). More than eight in ten people in the Prairies and individuals currently voting for the Conservative Party favour the project. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data…
Most Canadians say Trump’s tariff actions against Canada will have a negative impact on their personal finances. (CTV News/The Globe and Mail/Nanos)
While a majority of Canadians across all regions and age groups say Trump’s tariff actions against Canada will have a negative or somewhat negative impact on their personal finances, respondents aged 55 and over are most likely to say the tariffs will have an outright negative impact on their finances…
Canadians more likely to oppose removing the carbon tax on large industrial emitters. (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
Canadians are more likely to not favour removing the carbon price on large industrial emitters (49% oppose/somewhat oppose, 39% support/somewhat support). Of note, there are striking partisan differences. Those favouring a removal of the carbon price on large industrial emitters increases from 39 percent to 63 percent among those currently…
LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
It is an East versus West show down in popular support with the Liberals leading in Eastern Canada, the Conservatives leading in the Prairies and British Columbia being a toss-up. The Liberal advantage in national ballot support continues with the party six points ahead of their Conservative competitors (LPC 44,…
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
The close race between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues with only a five point difference between the two main parties (LPC 43, CPC 38, NDP 9). On the leadership front, although Carney has a comfortable lead on who Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister (Carney 47, Poilievre 35), Poilievre…
Canadians give Mark Carney the advantage over Pierre Poilievre on negotiating with President Trump; two in three are concerned about a possible recession in the next year (The Globe and Mail/La Presse/Nanos)
More than three in five Canadians (62%) think Mark Carney would do the best job at negotiating with US President Donald Trump, while one in four believe Pierre Poilievre would do the best job (24%). Bernier, Blanchet and Singh each received one per cent, while fewer than one per cent…
LPC 42.8, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 6.2, GP 2.3, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 8, 2025)
We are in a world where 39 percent support for the Conservatives is not enough to win an election. This is a result of the increasing polarization centred around the two front running parties. Currently, the Liberal advantage has narrowed to four percentage points (Liberals 43, Conservatives 39, NDP 9). …
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.1, BQ 6.6, GP 2.8, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 7, 2025)
The narrowed five-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues as voting day looms less than three weeks away. Compared to three days ago, the Liberals are down three points and the Conservatives up three in popular support. The Liberals have an advantage in four of five regions but…
Majority of Canadians prefer Canada pursue all trade opportunities rather than focus on trade relations with a particular country or region (CTV News/The Globe and Mail/Nanos)
People prefer that Canada pursue a diversified trade strategy (57%). Only about one in ten prefer pursing on the US as a trade opportunity (5%) or the US and Mexico (6%) as a trade opportunity. Quebecers are comparatively more likely to want Canada to pursue opportunities in Europe (National 25%, …
Slim majority say there is the right focus on Canada US relations in the federal election (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
There is clearly a partisan divide when it comes to views as to whether there is too much, not enough or the right among of focus on Canada-US relations. The view that there is the right amount of focus on Canada-US relations increases from 54 to 76 percent among committed…
Majority of Canadians support some form of action against US auto tariffs (CTV News/The Globe and Mail/Nanos)
Committed Liberal voters are more likely to exclusively support auto tariff retaliation compared to committed Conservative or NDP voters. Ontarians are more likely to prefer a combination of retaliation and cutting sales taxes on Canadian-made automobiles and trucks. Appetite for a sales tax cut comparatively highest in the Prairies. -Nik…
Majority of Canadians are concerned that any Canadian tariff retaliation with the United States will result in a further escalation of tensions (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
More than seven in ten people (72%) are concerned or somewhat concerned that Canadian tariff retaliation will escalate tensions between Canada and the United States. This cuts across all regions, demographic groups and partisan preferences. (Survey ending April 6, 2025) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News-Globe and Mail/Nanos…
Canadians give Carney a significant advantage over Poilievre on supporting economic growth. (CTV News/Nanos)
Trust in Mark Carney to support economic growth is more than twice that of his Liberal predecessor, Justin Trudeau. Carney also significantly outscores Poilievre on trust, picking up voters who in the past didn’t trust anyone or were unsure. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone…
Forward looking Expectations Sub-indice hits two year low – Those reporting their job is secure hits numeric low not seen since summer of 2020 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Canadian consumer confidence continues to slide in a negative trajectory with a noticeable decline in the forward-looking Expectations Sub-indice. Of note, this index has hit a two year low and those reporting their job is secure has hit an almost five year numeric low not seen since the summer of…
LPC 42.8, CPC 37.7, NDP 7.9, BQ 6.7, GP 2.8, PPC 1.6 (Tracking ending April 6, 2025)
Now it’s a five-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives. The one thing we do know is that US President Trump has not been looming large in the Canadian mindset for the last number of days – especially compared to the period leading up to his “Liberation Day”. There…
LPC 43.4, CPC 37.0, NDP 8.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.3, PPC 1.9 (Tracking ending April 5, 2025)
In the post Trump “Liberation Day” period the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives has narrowed with the Liberals at 43 percent and the Conservatives at 37 percent nationally. The New Democrats stand at eight percent support (eight percent represents a new numeric low for the NDP). Conservative gains…
Most Canadians think this upcoming election is more important than previous federal elections. (CTV News/Nanos)
Close to nine in ten Canadians (86%) think this federal election is more important than previous elections, while 13 per cent think its as important and one per cent are unsure. Less than one per cent of Canadians think this federal election is less important than previous ones. Residents of…
LPC 45.9, CPC 34.9, NDP 9.2, BQ 5.2, GP 2.9, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 4, 2025)
The ballot advantage for the Liberals has increased from five to 11 percentage points since the beginning of the nightly tracking. (LPC 46, CPC 35, NDP 9). The Conservatives and Liberals are within the margin of error of each other among male voters for the first time in the Nanos…
Canadians are over three times more likely to say the Liberal Party most benefits from the tension in the Canada-US relationship than the Conservative Party (Globe/CTV/Nanos)
Across all demographic groups and regions, Canadians believe that the current environment with tension in the Canada-US relationship is more likely to benefit the Liberals. In addition to the focus as leader of the Liberal Party of Canada, being Prime Minister and responding to US President Trump is currently unfolding…