The gap between the two front runners has narrowed to three percentage points as we enter the closing weekend of the campaign. Key movement over the last few days has been in battleground Ontario where the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives is closing. The Liberal advantage stands at five percentage points, half what… Continue Reading LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)
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Category: Political tracking
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up. National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at 5.9 percent and the Greens… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform. Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days. As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally the Liberals stand at 42.9… Continue Reading LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)
NDP support has slid after post debate bump. With less than a week to election day, the race between the Liberals and the Conservatives for ballot support continues to be close and stable (LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7). However, the NDP after an initial marginal lift coming out of the debate, has slid as… Continue Reading LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)
LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)
The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5). There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking – middle aged voters and… Continue Reading LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)
LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)
The Liberals close out the weekend following the French and English debates with a seven point lead over the Conservatives (LCP 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7). In addition to their lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Liberals are currently ahead in battleground British Columbia. The Conservatives only lead in the Prairie provinces. Support… Continue Reading LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)
LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)
The impact of the two leadership debates is starting to play itself out with polling completed on Saturday. Readers should note that no fieldwork was done on the Friday statutory holiday so the three day sample is based on April 16, 17 and 19. The Liberals have a six point advantage (LPC 43, CPC 37,… Continue Reading LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)
LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)
The latest CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking has the Liberals ahead by eight points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8) as the campaign enters the holiday weekend. The Liberals lead in four of five regions while Conservatives continue to enjoy a comfortable advantage in their Prairie heartland. In the tracking following the French debate the… Continue Reading LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)
LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)
The Liberals have a marginal five-point advantage over the Conservatives with a little over 10 days left in the campaign (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The first night of tracking which occurred concurrently with the French leaders debate shows the race in Quebec currently stable. That said, debate impact many times has two phases. … Continue Reading LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)
LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 15, 2025)
Heading into the French language debate the Liberals are ahead by eight percentage points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8). In battleground Quebec the Liberals have an advantage over their opponents (LPC 45, BQ 28, CPC 19, NDP 5). The shape of the race in Quebec today is much different compared to the last federal… Continue Reading LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 15, 2025)