No obvious challenger: Harper and Poilievre lead the Conservative field, but most often Canadians say none has a chance to defeat Carney. (CTV/Nanos)

No obvious challenger: Harper and Poilievre lead the Conservative field, but most often Canadians say none has a chance to defeat Carney. (CTV/Nanos)

Aug 4, 2026

This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on which notable Canadian Conservative would have the best chance of defeating Liberal leader Mark Carney. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,104 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from July 28th…