The gap between the two front runners has narrowed to three percentage points as we enter the closing weekend of the campaign. Key movement over the last few days has been in battleground Ontario where the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives is closing. The Liberal advantage stands at five percentage points, half what… Continue Reading LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)
You are browsing archives for
Category: Reports
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up. National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at 5.9 percent and the Greens… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
Canadians are now four times more likely to think Canada should increase its current trade relations...
About two in five Canadians think Canada should keep its trade relationship with China at the current level. However, the appetite to increase its current trade relationship with China has grown compared to 2023. Although similar proportions of both committed Conservative voters and committed Liberal voters prefer maintaining our current trade relationship with China, committed… Continue Reading Canadians are now four times more likely to think Canada should increase its current trade relationship with China compared to 2023 (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/Nanos)
Leadership and platform drive the vote for both Conservatives and Liberals, but with different empha...
Liberals are more likely to be driven by a federal party leader they trust (50%) and a platform or policy they like (17%), while Conservatives are more likely to be driven by a platform or policy they like (37%) and a federal party leader they trust (26%). Of note, the lowest ranking factors are party… Continue Reading Leadership and platform drive the vote for both Conservatives and Liberals, but with different emphasis. (Globe and Mail/ CTV News/ Nanos)
Second-generation and first-generation immigrants more likely to favour the Liberals than the Conser...
The Liberals are more likely to be favoured than Conservatives by second-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 47.0%, CPC 37.1%, NDP 11.1%) and first-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 46.1%, CPC 35.8%, NDP 8.5%). There is a dead heat between Liberals (40.6%) and Conservatives (40.5%) among those with weak or no connection to immigration. Carney leads as the preferred… Continue Reading Second-generation and first-generation immigrants more likely to favour the Liberals than the Conservatives, dead heat among those with weak or no connection to immigration. (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/ Nanos)
Canadians are divided on financial commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid – Conservative voters
Canadians are split in their views on Canada’s commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid. Forty-three percent would like aid to stay the same, 31 percent favour a decrease and 18 percent want to see an increase. There are significant differences by party affiliation, with Conservative voters being over six times more likely than Liberal voters… Continue Reading Canadians are divided on financial commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid – Conservative voters most likely to want to see a decrease; Liberal voters more likely to favour status quo. (Globe and Mail/ CTV News/ Nanos)
Riding Snapshots – Perth-Wellington, Parry Sound-Muskoka & Simcoe North (OnePoint Association of Rea
The research gauged the opinions among residents of the federal ridings of Perth-Wellington, Parry Sound-Muskoka and Simcoe North on the state of the riding including perceptions of real estate, core community issues and the housing market. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land-and cell-lines) random telephone survey of 900 residents in the ridings of Perth-Wellington,… Continue Reading Riding Snapshots – Perth-Wellington, Parry Sound-Muskoka & Simcoe North (OnePoint Association of Realtors/Nanos)
LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform. Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days. As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally the Liberals stand at 42.9… Continue Reading LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)
NDP support has slid after post debate bump. With less than a week to election day, the race between the Liberals and the Conservatives for ballot support continues to be close and stable (LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7). However, the NDP after an initial marginal lift coming out of the debate, has slid as… Continue Reading LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)
LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)
The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5). There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking – middle aged voters and… Continue Reading LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)