The research gauged the opinions among residents of the federal ridings of Perth-Wellington, Parry Sound-Muskoka and Simcoe North on the state of the riding including perceptions of real estate, core community issues and the housing market. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land-and cell-lines) random telephone survey of 900 residents…

The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform.  Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days.  As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally…

NDP support has slid after post debate bump. With less than a week to election day, the race between the Liberals and the Conservatives for ballot support continues to be close and stable (LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7).  However, the NDP after an initial marginal lift coming out of…

The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5).  There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking…

Consumer confidence continues to be on a negative trajectory.  When asked if the economy will get stronger, weaker or have no change in the next six month, two of three asserted weaker.  Numerically the weaker economy score has not been this high in almost five years. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data…

The Liberals close out the weekend following the French and English debates with a seven point lead over the Conservatives (LCP 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7).  In addition to their lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Liberals are currently ahead in battleground British Columbia. The Conservatives only lead…

The impact of the two leadership debates is starting to play itself out with polling completed on Saturday.  Readers should note that no fieldwork was done on the Friday statutory holiday so the three day sample is based on April 16, 17 and 19. The Liberals have a six point…

The latest CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking has the Liberals ahead by eight points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8) as the campaign enters the holiday weekend. The Liberals lead in four of five regions while Conservatives continue to enjoy a comfortable advantage in their Prairie heartland.  In the tracking…

Around one in three Canadians say they trust Mark Carney and the Liberals most to help young Canadians (34%) closely followed by those say Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives (31%). Young people more likely to trust Poilievre over Carney. Young Canadians also more likely to focus on cost of living…

In addition to noteworthy differences by party affiliation, respondents in the Prairies, Ontario and BC are more likely than respondents in Quebec to say they feel somewhat less safe or less safe than they did ten years ago (45% in the Prairies; 43% in Ontario; 41% in BC; 24% in…

The Liberals have a marginal five-point advantage over the Conservatives with a little over 10 days left in the campaign (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The first night of tracking which occurred concurrently with the French leaders debate shows the race in Quebec currently stable.  That said, debate impact…

Nanos conducted a survey on Canadians views of the federal government. One in three Canadians say optimism (32%) is the feeling that best describes their view of the federal government, representing an increase of 25 percentage points since the last wave in January 2025 and reaching a numerical high since…

Heading into the French language debate the Liberals are ahead by eight percentage points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8).  In battleground Quebec the Liberals have an advantage over their opponents (LPC 45, BQ 28, CPC 19, NDP 5).  The shape of the race in Quebec today is much different…

Conservative support hits a 14 year election day high – but it is not enough. The Liberal advantage continues at five percentage points (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9).   The interesting dynamic is that for the Conservatives, 39 percent is not enough to win the election.  One should not be…

A majority of Canadians (60%) believe the country is moving in the right direction on the response to the US tariffs. Of note, committed Conservatives are twice as likely to think we are moving in the wrong direction compared to the national average (50%  CPC wrong direction, 23% Canadians wrong…

About one in six Canadian say “Canada is broken” compared to the majority that think it is good but needs improvement (51%) or is a great country (33%).  Of note, Committed Conservatives are much less likely to say Canada is a great country (14% CPC, compared to 33% nationally) and…

A majority of Canadians across all regions and demographic groups believe Western separatism should be taken seriously/somewhat seriously. This intensity increases among committed Conservative and Bloc voters. Although a minority opinion, people living in the Prairies and British Columbia are comparatively more likely to think that this election is the…

Canadian consumer confidence continues to trend downwards in an environment of uncertainty spurred by US President Trump.  Of note, pessimism on the future strength of the economy hit a high not seen since the summer of 2020.  Those who report their job is absolutely secure hit a low also not…

Liberals lead by seven points coming out of the weekend tracking (LPC 45, CPC 38, NDP 9).  The four point Liberal advantage from a week ago has marginally widened but is not as significant as the one time 11-point Liberal lead earlier in the election. When asked which leader Canadians…

What is striking about this election is the consolidation of votes around the two front running parties.  Together, as of last night 83 percent of Canadians are voting either Liberal (44%) or Conservative (39%).  As context, in the last election about 67 percent of Canadians voted for the Conservatives or…