A majority of Canadians across all regions and demographic groups believe Western separatism should be taken seriously/somewhat seriously. This intensity increases among committed Conservative and Bloc voters. Although a minority opinion, people living in the Prairies and British Columbia are comparatively more likely to think that this election is the time to talk about this… Continue Reading Three in five Canadians think Western separatism is serious to one extent to another – Think this isn’t a time to talk about provinces separating from Canada (Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
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Category: Federal election
LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
Liberals lead by seven points coming out of the weekend tracking (LPC 45, CPC 38, NDP 9). The four point Liberal advantage from a week ago has marginally widened but is not as significant as the one time 11-point Liberal lead earlier in the election. When asked which leader Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister… Continue Reading LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
What is striking about this election is the consolidation of votes around the two front running parties. Together, as of last night 83 percent of Canadians are voting either Liberal (44%) or Conservative (39%). As context, in the last election about 67 percent of Canadians voted for the Conservatives or the Liberals. The frontrunners are… Continue Reading LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
As we near the upcoming leadership debates the Liberals have a six-point lead over the Conservatives (LPC 43, CPC 37, NDP 10). Liberal support is strongest in Ontario, Atlantic Canada and Quebec while Conservative support is the strongest in the Prairies and British Columbia. Conservatives also do well among voters under 35 while the Liberals… Continue Reading LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
It is an East versus West show down in popular support with the Liberals leading in Eastern Canada, the Conservatives leading in the Prairies and British Columbia being a toss-up. The Liberal advantage in national ballot support continues with the party six points ahead of their Conservative competitors (LPC 44, CPC 38, NDP 9). The… Continue Reading LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
The close race between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues with only a five point difference between the two main parties (LPC 43, CPC 38, NDP 9). On the leadership front, although Carney has a comfortable lead on who Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister (Carney 47, Poilievre 35), Poilievre has been incrementally closing the… Continue Reading LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
Canadians give Mark Carney the advantage over Pierre Poilievre on negotiating with President Trump; ...
More than three in five Canadians (62%) think Mark Carney would do the best job at negotiating with US President Donald Trump, while one in four believe Pierre Poilievre would do the best job (24%). Bernier, Blanchet and Singh each received one per cent, while fewer than one per cent each think Elizabeth May or… Continue Reading Canadians give Mark Carney the advantage over Pierre Poilievre on negotiating with President Trump; two in three are concerned about a possible recession in the next year (The Globe and Mail/La Presse/Nanos)
LPC 42.8, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 6.2, GP 2.3, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 8, 2025)
We are in a world where 39 percent support for the Conservatives is not enough to win an election. This is a result of the increasing polarization centred around the two front running parties. Currently, the Liberal advantage has narrowed to four percentage points (Liberals 43, Conservatives 39, NDP 9). Also of note, Carney retains… Continue Reading LPC 42.8, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 6.2, GP 2.3, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 8, 2025)
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.1, BQ 6.6, GP 2.8, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 7, 2025)
The narrowed five-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues as voting day looms less than three weeks away. Compared to three days ago, the Liberals are down three points and the Conservatives up three in popular support. The Liberals have an advantage in four of five regions but the gap with the Conservatives… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.1, BQ 6.6, GP 2.8, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 7, 2025)
Slim majority say there is the right focus on Canada US relations in the federal election (The Globe...
There is clearly a partisan divide when it comes to views as to whether there is too much, not enough or the right among of focus on Canada-US relations. The view that there is the right amount of focus on Canada-US relations increases from 54 to 76 percent among committed Liberal voters. Conservative voters, in… Continue Reading Slim majority say there is the right focus on Canada US relations in the federal election (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)