We are in a world where 39 percent support for the Conservatives is not enough to win an election. This is a result of the increasing polarization centred around the two front running parties. Currently, the Liberal advantage has narrowed to four percentage points (Liberals 43, Conservatives 39, NDP 9). Also of note, Carney retains a comfortable lead on the preferred PM tracking, but it is also diminishing. A look at the regional ballot breakdowns suggests the Liberal support is likely better...
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