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Ontario Nightly Tracking Election Call: PCs 47.8, Liberals 26.2, NDP 15.4, Greens 6.4 (CTV News/Nano...

Ever wonder what researchers think about when they are working to predict election outcomes? The team at Nanos has been at this for over 20 years when back in 2004 we did our first nightly tracking project for the Canadian federal election. Sharing nightly election tracking in partnership with Canada’s leading news organization is one… Continue Reading Ontario Nightly Tracking Election Call: PCs 47.8, Liberals 26.2, NDP 15.4, Greens 6.4 (CTV News/Nanos)

Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.7, Liberals 31.9, NDP 16.5, Greens 3.8 (CTV News/Nanos)

The Ford PCs lead by 14 points going into the close of the campaign.  Of note, Liberal support is moving up while NDP support is moving down in the latest polling. PCs lead in four of five regions with Toronto as a toss-up in the tracking. (Tracking ending Feb 25) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist… Continue Reading Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.7, Liberals 31.9, NDP 16.5, Greens 3.8 (CTV News/Nanos)

Almost three in 10 Ontarians strategically voting (CTV News/Nanos)

Although a majority of Ontarians report they will be voting for a party or leader they like, a noticeable percentage say they are voting against a party (17 percent) or a leader (11 per cent) they do not want to win. Strategic voters are more likely to be Liberals, New Democrats or Greens compared to… Continue Reading Almost three in 10 Ontarians strategically voting (CTV News/Nanos)

Majority of Ontarians say they decided on their vote before the campaign began. Three in ten say th...

Although a majority of Ontarians say they have made up their mind before the campaign even started (59 per cent), a significant three of ten (29 per cent) say they are leaning towards a party but may change their mind. PCs supporters were the most decided going in and compared to the supporters of other… Continue Reading Majority of Ontarians say they decided on their vote before the campaign began. Three in ten say they may change their mind (CTV News/Nanos)

Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.4, Liberals 29.3, NDP 18.8, Greens 4.3 (CTV News/Nanos)

Progressive Conservatives open up a 16-point ballot advantage in the last week of the provincial election campaign. PC leader Doug Ford ahead of other leaders by 17 points as person Ontarians would prefer as premier. (Tracking ending Feb 24) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News/Nanos nightly provincial election tracking conducted by Nanos Research… Continue Reading Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.4, Liberals 29.3, NDP 18.8, Greens 4.3 (CTV News/Nanos)

Ontarians are most likely to say the outcome of the next federal and provincial elections and US Pre...

Although the most popular response was that the federal and provincial elections and Trump were of equal importance, beyond that response, the provincial election trailed both the importance of the federal election and US President Trump’s actions against Canada. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News/Nanos nightly provincial election tracking conducted by Nanos Research… Continue Reading Ontarians are most likely to say the outcome of the next federal and provincial elections and US President Trump’s actions against Canada are of equal importance (CTV News/Nanos)

Reducing income taxes is the most popular idea to help with the rising cost of living (CTV News/Nano...

Lowering income taxes emerges as the most preferred approach to help with the rising cost of living in Ontario, with 36% overall support. Meanwhile, increasing the minimum wage (28%) and reducing sales taxes (24%) are also favored solutions, each supported by about a quarter of Ontarians. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News/Nanos nightly… Continue Reading Reducing income taxes is the most popular idea to help with the rising cost of living (CTV News/Nanos)

Ontarians say the top priority for the Ontario education system should be managing class sizes (CTV ...

According to recent CTV News/Nanos survey data on the Ontario election, Ontarians say managing class sizes should be the top priority for the Ontario education system, followed by increasing standardized test scores of students in math and English. Residents of the Golden West region are more likely to say these are top priorities than other… Continue Reading Ontarians say the top priority for the Ontario education system should be managing class sizes (CTV News/Nanos)

Slight trust advantage for the NDP for creating an environment allowing for more affordable housing ...

New Democrats enjoy a marginal advantage among voters on the issue of affordable housing. This advantage is stronger among younger Ontarians as they are twice as likely to trust the NPD on this issue rather than the Liberals  or Progressive Conservatives. Twenty-eight per cent trust the NDP most to create an environment where more affordable… Continue Reading Slight trust advantage for the NDP for creating an environment allowing for more affordable housing to be built. (CTV News/Nanos)

Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 44.0, Liberals 29.0, NDP 19.8, Greens 4.8 (CTV News/Nanos)

Comfortable advantage for Ford PCs continues going into the last week of the campaign.  The PCs lead in all age groups while the New Democrats are ahead of the Liberals among voters under 35 years of age but trail Liberals among voters over 35 years of age.  On the preferred premier tracking Ford leads in… Continue Reading Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 44.0, Liberals 29.0, NDP 19.8, Greens 4.8 (CTV News/Nanos)