Liberals lead by seven points coming out of the weekend tracking (LPC 45, CPC 38, NDP 9). The four point Liberal advantage from a week ago has marginally widened but is not as significant as the one time 11-point Liberal lead earlier in the election. When asked which leader Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister… Continue Reading LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
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Category: CTV
LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
What is striking about this election is the consolidation of votes around the two front running parties. Together, as of last night 83 percent of Canadians are voting either Liberal (44%) or Conservative (39%). As context, in the last election about 67 percent of Canadians voted for the Conservatives or the Liberals. The frontrunners are… Continue Reading LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
As we near the upcoming leadership debates the Liberals have a six-point lead over the Conservatives (LPC 43, CPC 37, NDP 10). Liberal support is strongest in Ontario, Atlantic Canada and Quebec while Conservative support is the strongest in the Prairies and British Columbia. Conservatives also do well among voters under 35 while the Liberals… Continue Reading LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
Canadians more than two times as likely to favour the government financially supporting workers impa...
A majority of Canadians support or somewhat support the government financially supporting workers negatively impacted by new US tariffs even if it increased the deficit and the national debt. Of note, the intensity of support is highest among voters who are currently committed to the Liberals or the NDP. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The… Continue Reading Canadians more than two times as likely to favour the government financially supporting workers impacted by new US tariffs than not. (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
Canadians are four times more likely to be supportive than not of an East West pipeline. (CTV News/T...
A comfortable majority of Canadians favour an East-West pipeline for oil and liquified natural gas on with facilities on both coasts (58% support, 15% somewhat support). More than eight in ten people in the Prairies and individuals currently voting for the Conservative Party favour the project. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News-Globe and… Continue Reading Canadians are four times more likely to be supportive than not of an East West pipeline. (CTV News/The Globe and Mail/Nanos)
Most Canadians say Trump’s tariff actions against Canada will have a negative impact on their person
While a majority of Canadians across all regions and age groups say Trump’s tariff actions against Canada will have a negative or somewhat negative impact on their personal finances, respondents aged 55 and over are most likely to say the tariffs will have an outright negative impact on their finances (59%). Liberal and voters over… Continue Reading Most Canadians say Trump’s tariff actions against Canada will have a negative impact on their personal finances. (CTV News/The Globe and Mail/Nanos)
Canadians more likely to oppose removing the carbon tax on large industrial emitters. (The Globe and...
Canadians are more likely to not favour removing the carbon price on large industrial emitters (49% oppose/somewhat oppose, 39% support/somewhat support). Of note, there are striking partisan differences. Those favouring a removal of the carbon price on large industrial emitters increases from 39 percent to 63 percent among those currently committed to voting Conservatives. -Nik… Continue Reading Canadians more likely to oppose removing the carbon tax on large industrial emitters. (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
It is an East versus West show down in popular support with the Liberals leading in Eastern Canada, the Conservatives leading in the Prairies and British Columbia being a toss-up. The Liberal advantage in national ballot support continues with the party six points ahead of their Conservative competitors (LPC 44, CPC 38, NDP 9). The… Continue Reading LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
The close race between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues with only a five point difference between the two main parties (LPC 43, CPC 38, NDP 9). On the leadership front, although Carney has a comfortable lead on who Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister (Carney 47, Poilievre 35), Poilievre has been incrementally closing the… Continue Reading LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
LPC 42.8, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 6.2, GP 2.3, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 8, 2025)
We are in a world where 39 percent support for the Conservatives is not enough to win an election. This is a result of the increasing polarization centred around the two front running parties. Currently, the Liberal advantage has narrowed to four percentage points (Liberals 43, Conservatives 39, NDP 9). Also of note, Carney retains… Continue Reading LPC 42.8, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 6.2, GP 2.3, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 8, 2025)