Recent Reports
Most Canadians anticipate at least some positive impact from Mark Carney on Canadian Unity. (CTV News/Nanos)
The objective of the research was to gauge views of Canadians on newly-elected Prime Minister Mark Carney’s impact on unity among Canadians. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,055 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between May 5th and…
Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8 (Nanos)
Close race continues between the Liberals and the Conservatives in the post election period with only a three point gap between the front-runners. Canadians continue to be fixated on Trump as their top issue of concern and Carney continues lead as the person people would prefer as Prime Minister. -Nik…
Only one in five Albertans believe it is likely auto insurance premiums will go down if the Government of Alberta creates a no-fault system that is run and administered by for-profit insurance companies (The Canadian Bar Association/Nanos)
Nanos conducted an online representative survey of 1087 Albertans, 18 years of age or older, between March 24th and April 1st, 2025. A margin of error cannot be calculated on a non-probability sample. For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1087 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.0…
After steady decline in consumer confidence, last week showed an uptick (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Overall consumer confidence remains in negative territory with a score below 50 on the 100 point diffusion scale in the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index. Compared to four weeks ago three of the four indicators showed an improvement with the exception of positive perceptions of the future value of real…
Over six in ten Albertans think being part of Canada is the best option for Alberta’s economy, rest prefer separation or joining the US (The Globe and Mail/Nanos)
A majority of Albertans believe Alberta being part of Canada would be best for creating a strong economy in Alberta in the long run (64%). On the other hand, those who lean more toward separation (29%) for a strong Alberta economy prefer Alberta being an independent country (20%) over Alberta…
Views on Canadian investment climate continue to weaken since 2022, reaching another all-time low. (AmCham Canada/Nanos)
The AmCham-Nanos American Investment in Canda Index continues to decline, reaching an all-time low index score of 27 points points in October 2023 and 37 points compared to 34 in October 2022. The index score for the current business environment significantly declined from 41 points 2023 to 32 points in…
Consumer confidence hits low not seen since December 2022 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Canadian consumer confidence continues in a negative trajectory and has hit a low not seen since the close of 2022. Positivity on the future as measured by the Expectations Sub-indice has continued on the negative trajectory which started with the election of US President Trump. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist…
ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)
The final Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos tracking is complete. The interviews were completed today (Sunday April 27) and released the same day. 2025 was a seismic period in federal politics. The year opened with the Conservatives at 47 percent support followed by the Liberals at a lowly 20 percent on…
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 26, 2025)
Less than a handful of percentage points separates the two front running parties on the tracking ending the Saturday before election day. Support for the Liberals stands at 43.0 percent, followed by the Conservatives at 38.9 percent and the New Democrats at 8.0 percent nationally. British Columbia is an absolute…
LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)
The gap between the two front runners has narrowed to three percentage points as we enter the closing weekend of the campaign. Key movement over the last few days has been in battleground Ontario where the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives is closing. The Liberal advantage stands at…
Weekly Issue – Tracking ending April 25th, 2025 – STAT SHEET
To access the weekly Issue – Tracking ending April 25th, 2025 – STAT SHEET, click here.
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up. National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at…
Canadians are now four times more likely to think Canada should increase its current trade relationship with China compared to 2023 (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/Nanos)
About two in five Canadians think Canada should keep its trade relationship with China at the current level. However, the appetite to increase its current trade relationship with China has grown compared to 2023. Although similar proportions of both committed Conservative voters and committed Liberal voters prefer maintaining our current…
Leadership and platform drive the vote for both Conservatives and Liberals, but with different emphasis. (Globe and Mail/ CTV News/ Nanos)
Liberals are more likely to be driven by a federal party leader they trust (50%) and a platform or policy they like (17%), while Conservatives are more likely to be driven by a platform or policy they like (37%) and a federal party leader they trust (26%). Of note, the…
Second-generation and first-generation immigrants more likely to favour the Liberals than the Conservatives, dead heat among those with weak or no connection to immigration. (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/ Nanos)
The Liberals are more likely to be favoured than Conservatives by second-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 47.0%, CPC 37.1%, NDP 11.1%) and first-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 46.1%, CPC 35.8%, NDP 8.5%). There is a dead heat between Liberals (40.6%) and Conservatives (40.5%) among those with weak or no connection to immigration.…
Canadians are divided on financial commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid – Conservative voters most likely to want to see a decrease; Liberal voters more likely to favour status quo. (Globe and Mail/ CTV News/ Nanos)
Canadians are split in their views on Canada’s commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid. Forty-three percent would like aid to stay the same, 31 percent favour a decrease and 18 percent want to see an increase. There are significant differences by party affiliation, with Conservative voters being over six times…
Riding Snapshots – Perth-Wellington, Parry Sound-Muskoka & Simcoe North (OnePoint Association of Realtors/Nanos)
The research gauged the opinions among residents of the federal ridings of Perth-Wellington, Parry Sound-Muskoka and Simcoe North on the state of the riding including perceptions of real estate, core community issues and the housing market. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land-and cell-lines) random telephone survey of 900 residents…
LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform. Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days. As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally…
LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)
NDP support has slid after post debate bump. With less than a week to election day, the race between the Liberals and the Conservatives for ballot support continues to be close and stable (LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7). However, the NDP after an initial marginal lift coming out of…
LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)
The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5). There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking…