Close race continues between the Liberals and the Conservatives in the post election period with only a three point gap between the front-runners. Canadians continue to be fixated on Trump as their top issue of concern and Carney continues lead as the person people would prefer as Prime Minister. -Nik…

Nanos conducted an online representative survey of 1087 Albertans, 18 years of age or older, between March 24th and April 1st, 2025. A margin of error cannot be calculated on a non-probability sample.  For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1087 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.0…

Overall consumer confidence remains in negative territory with a score below 50 on the 100 point diffusion scale in the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index. Compared to four weeks ago three of the four indicators showed an improvement with the exception of positive perceptions of the future value of real…

A majority of Albertans believe Alberta being part of Canada would be best for creating a strong economy in Alberta in the long run (64%). On the other hand, those who lean more toward separation (29%) for a strong Alberta economy prefer Alberta being an independent country (20%) over Alberta…

The AmCham-Nanos American Investment in Canda Index continues to decline, reaching an all-time low index score of 27 points points in October 2023 and 37 points compared to 34 in October 2022. The index score for the current business environment significantly declined from 41 points 2023 to 32 points in…

Canadian consumer confidence continues in a negative trajectory and has hit a low not seen since the close of 2022.  Positivity on the future as measured by the Expectations Sub-indice has continued on the negative trajectory which started with the election of US President Trump. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist…

The final Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos tracking is complete. The interviews were completed today (Sunday April 27) and released the same day. 2025 was a seismic period in federal politics. The year opened with the Conservatives at 47 percent support followed by the Liberals at a lowly 20 percent on…

Less than a handful of percentage points separates the two front running parties on the tracking ending the Saturday before election day.  Support for the Liberals stands at 43.0 percent, followed by the Conservatives at 38.9 percent and the New Democrats at 8.0 percent nationally.  British Columbia is an absolute…

The gap between the two front runners has narrowed to three percentage points as we enter the closing weekend of the campaign. Key movement over the last few days has been in battleground Ontario where the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives is closing.  The Liberal advantage stands at…

To access the weekly Issue – Tracking ending April 25th, 2025 – STAT SHEET, click here.

In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up.  National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at…

About two in five Canadians think Canada should keep its trade relationship with China at the current level. However, the appetite to increase its current trade relationship with China has grown compared to 2023. Although similar proportions of both committed Conservative voters and committed Liberal voters prefer maintaining our current…

Liberals are more likely to be driven by a federal party leader they trust (50%) and a platform or policy they like (17%), while Conservatives are more likely to be driven by a platform or policy they like (37%) and a federal party leader they trust (26%). Of note, the…

The Liberals are more likely to be favoured than Conservatives by second-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 47.0%, CPC 37.1%, NDP 11.1%) and first-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 46.1%, CPC 35.8%, NDP 8.5%). There is a dead heat between Liberals (40.6%) and Conservatives (40.5%) among those with weak or no connection to immigration.…

Canadians are split in their views on Canada’s commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid. Forty-three percent would like aid to stay the same, 31 percent favour a decrease and 18 percent want to see an increase. There are significant differences by party affiliation, with Conservative voters being over six times…

The research gauged the opinions among residents of the federal ridings of Perth-Wellington, Parry Sound-Muskoka and Simcoe North on the state of the riding including perceptions of real estate, core community issues and the housing market. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land-and cell-lines) random telephone survey of 900 residents…

The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform.  Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days.  As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally…

NDP support has slid after post debate bump. With less than a week to election day, the race between the Liberals and the Conservatives for ballot support continues to be close and stable (LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7).  However, the NDP after an initial marginal lift coming out of…

The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5).  There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking…

Consumer confidence continues to be on a negative trajectory.  When asked if the economy will get stronger, weaker or have no change in the next six month, two of three asserted weaker.  Numerically the weaker economy score has not been this high in almost five years. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data…