Recent Reports
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 45.8, CPC 36.7, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.7, PPC 1.1 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
The latest national tracking survey shows a lift in support for the Liberal Party, now leading with 46% of voter backing. The Conservatives follow at 37%, while the New Democrats trail at a tracking low of 9%, dipping from 11% in earlier tracking. Over the initial five days of data…
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 45.1, CPC 37.2, NDP 9.2, BQ 5.3, GP 1.6, PPC 1.1 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
It’s a two-party consolidation compared to past elections. The Carney Liberals continue to have an eight-point advantage over the Poilievre Conservatives. Compared to past elections a two-party consolidation is redefining the election landscape. A key signature of this election is the consolidation of support among the two front running parties. …
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 44.7, CPC 36.6, NDP 10.1, BQ 5.6, GP 1.6, PPC 1.3 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
As the campaign unfolds the Carney Liberals have opened up an eight-point advantage over the Poilievre Conservatives while the NDP continues to distantly trail. The Liberals lead in every region except the Prairie provinces where the Conservatives continue to do very well. Women are more likely to vote Liberal while…
Importance of oil and gas to Canada’s current and future economy hits new high; majority of Canadians don’t want to align with the US on energy or climate policies. (Positive Energy/Nanos)
Close to nine in ten Canadians rate oil and gas as important to Canada’s current economy (score of 7-10 out of 10) (88%) which is a significant increase from the previous wave in August 2024 (79%), and an all-time high since tracking began in 2020. Additionally, an increasing proportion see…
Over three in five Canadians support or somewhat support Mark Carney disclosing financial assets in blind trust and Pierre Poilievre obtaining security clearance (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/Nanos)
What is clear from the research is that Canadians hold the leaders of the two front running parties to a high level of accountability. More than six in ten would want Carney to disclose details of his blind trust and six in ten want Poilievre to obtain a security clearance.…
Three in four Canadians in favour of putting tariffs on energy and critical mineral exports to the US in response to US tariffs (Globe/CTV/Nanos)
As Canadians brace for US President Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” and potential tariffs, they very much support action whether it be retaliation with putting tariffs on energy or critical mineral exports. Of note, a majority of individuals in the energy-rich Prairie provinces support this retaliation. When asked about buying…
Percentage of Canadians who think economy will get weaker in next six months nears high not seen since June 2020 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Consumer confidence continues to decline largely on negative views on the future strength of the Canadian economy which has neared a high not seen since the global pandemic in June 2020. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,123…
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 43.6, CPC 36.1, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.3, GP 2.4, PPC 1.9 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
The Poilievre Conservatives are losing ground to the Carney Liberals, according to the latest CTV/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking poll. With the Liberals leading 44% to the Conservatives’ 36%, a significant shift has emerged in Ontario—a critical battleground for federal elections. Once a stronghold that bolstered Conservative hopes of victory, Ontario…
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 41.9, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.6, BQ 5.3, GP 2.6, PPC 1.9 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
As the first three-day sample of the campaign concludes, the Liberals, led by Mark Carney, are emerging as the frontrunners in a tightly contested race. Support for the party has surged, drawing voters away from the NDP, Bloc Québécois, and Greens. Meanwhile, the Conservatives maintain a steady base, setting the…
Over 9 in 10 residents remain generally satisfied with town services > 8 in 10 say more affordable housing needed (Town of Tecumseh/Nanos)
The research gauged the opinions among residents of the Town of Tecumseh on overall quality of life in the Town, issues of concern, importance and satisfaction with Town services, importance of policing services strategic goals, recreational activities, housing and communications with the Town. Nanos conducted an RDD random telephone survey…
Concern about Trump continues to rise > Conservatives 37, Liberals 34, NDP 14. (Nanos)
Nanos tracks unprompted issues of concern every week. To access full weekly national and regional tracking visit the Nanos subscriber data portal. Focus on US President Trump continues to intensify as the top unprompted national issue of concern. Conservatives and Liberals remain gripped in a close race as NDP support…
Consumer confidence continues to erode in wake of Canada-US tensions (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Key indicators such as the future strength of the Canadian economy and perceptions related to the value of real estate continue to track on a negative trajectory in the wake of heightened Canada-US tensions. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random…
Three in four Canadians want to increase defense spending to at least two per cent (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Close to seven in ten Canadians prefer increasing defense spending to reach the current two per cent NATO ally target (69%) of the GDP, followed by those who want to maintain our current level of spending at 1.4% (13%) and those who prefer to increase spending to a potential new…
Negative outlook on future standard of living ties 13 year high (Nanos)
Canadians are now ten times more likely to say the next generation will have a lower (70%) rather than higher (seven per cent) standard of living than Canadians enjoy today. The seventy per cent of respondents who believe the next generation of Canadians will have a lower standard of living…
One in three Canadians want any additional money from economic growth to be spent on strengthening the healthcare system; rank improved standard of living as the most important benefit of economic growth (Coalition for a Better Future/Nanos)
Asked to rank the importance of potential spending priorities for the government with additional money in the budget generated from economic growth, close to one in three ranked making our health care system stronger first (29%), followed by affordable housing (17%) and reducing the deficit (14%). Nanos conducted an RDD…
Concern about Trump/US Relations rockets upward. Conservatives 35, Liberals 34, NDP 16. (Nanos)
Nanos tracks unprompted issues of concern every week. To access full weekly national and regional tracking visit the Nanos subscriber data portal. Concern about US President Trump/US relations continues to rocket upward in the Nanos weekly tracking on the top national issues of concern. Conservatives and Liberals gripped in a…
Forward negativity on future strength of Canadian economy hits level not seen since the depths of global pandemic in June 2020 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Canadian consumer confidence continues to decline primarily driven by the forward looking Expectations Sub-indice. Of note, two of three Canadians believe the economy will get weaker in the next six months hitting a level on this measure not seen since the depths of the global pandemic in 2020. -Nik Nanos,…
Strong majority of Canadians say their opinion of the US has worsened compared to a year ago. (Globe and Mail/Nanos)
The survey gauged the views of Canadians on the current tensions between the United States and Canada, and their feelings towards Americans. Close to nine in ten Canadians say their view of the United States has worsened (78%) or somewhat worsened (10%) compared to a year ago, and less than…
Conservatives 36, Liberals 35, NDP 15 > Concern about Trump pulling ahead on issue front. (Nanos)
Nanos tracks unprompted issues of concern every week. To access full weekly national and regional tracking visit the Nanos subscriber data portal. Gap between the Conservatives and the Liberals continues to narrow as support for the NDP has declined over the past eight weeks. Concern about US President Trump/US relations…
Forward looking expectations on the Canadian economy continue to slide (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Canadian consumer confidence continues in negative territory as people grapple with the uncertainty related to tariffs and the economic environment. Of note, negative views on the future strength of the Canadian economy remain high and there has been a four week decline in perceptions on the increased value of real…