The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5). There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking – middle aged voters and… Continue Reading LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)
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Category: CTV
LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)
The Liberals close out the weekend following the French and English debates with a seven point lead over the Conservatives (LCP 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7). In addition to their lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Liberals are currently ahead in battleground British Columbia. The Conservatives only lead in the Prairie provinces. Support… Continue Reading LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)
LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)
The impact of the two leadership debates is starting to play itself out with polling completed on Saturday. Readers should note that no fieldwork was done on the Friday statutory holiday so the three day sample is based on April 16, 17 and 19. The Liberals have a six point advantage (LPC 43, CPC 37,… Continue Reading LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)
LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)
The latest CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking has the Liberals ahead by eight points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8) as the campaign enters the holiday weekend. The Liberals lead in four of five regions while Conservatives continue to enjoy a comfortable advantage in their Prairie heartland. In the tracking following the French debate the… Continue Reading LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)
Carney, Poilievre a toss up as to who people trust to help young Canadians. Cost of living top issue...
Around one in three Canadians say they trust Mark Carney and the Liberals most to help young Canadians (34%) closely followed by those say Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives (31%). Young people more likely to trust Poilievre over Carney. Young Canadians also more likely to focus on cost of living (Cost of living most important… Continue Reading Carney, Poilievre a toss up as to who people trust to help young Canadians. Cost of living top issue for young voters, US trade war top issue for older Canadians (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/ Nanos)
Although Canadians are more likely to say they feel as safe compared to 10 years ago, Conservative v...
In addition to noteworthy differences by party affiliation, respondents in the Prairies, Ontario and BC are more likely than respondents in Quebec to say they feel somewhat less safe or less safe than they did ten years ago (45% in the Prairies; 43% in Ontario; 41% in BC; 24% in Quebec). Younger respondents are also… Continue Reading Although Canadians are more likely to say they feel as safe compared to 10 years ago, Conservative voters are the most likely to say they feel less safe. Trust in court system to punish convicted violent criminals a mixed bag – Liberals more likely to trust, Conservatives less likely to trust the courts. (Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)
The Liberals have a marginal five-point advantage over the Conservatives with a little over 10 days left in the campaign (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The first night of tracking which occurred concurrently with the French leaders debate shows the race in Quebec currently stable. That said, debate impact many times has two phases. … Continue Reading LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)
LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 15, 2025)
Heading into the French language debate the Liberals are ahead by eight percentage points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8). In battleground Quebec the Liberals have an advantage over their opponents (LPC 45, BQ 28, CPC 19, NDP 5). The shape of the race in Quebec today is much different compared to the last federal… Continue Reading LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 15, 2025)
LPC 44.1, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.3, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 14, 2025)
Conservative support hits a 14 year election day high – but it is not enough. The Liberal advantage continues at five percentage points (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The interesting dynamic is that for the Conservatives, 39 percent is not enough to win the election. One should not be surprised that the Conservatives feel… Continue Reading LPC 44.1, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.3, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 14, 2025)
How do we feel about Canada? 51% pretty good needs improvement, 33% great country, 16% broken (Globe
About one in six Canadian say “Canada is broken” compared to the majority that think it is good but needs improvement (51%) or is a great country (33%). Of note, Committed Conservatives are much less likely to say Canada is a great country (14% CPC, compared to 33% nationally) and are more likely to believe… Continue Reading How do we feel about Canada? 51% pretty good needs improvement, 33% great country, 16% broken (Globe and Mail/CTV News/ Nanos)