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Canadians are divided on financial commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid – Conservative voters

Canadians are split in their views on Canada’s commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid. Forty-three percent would like aid to stay the same, 31 percent favour a decrease and 18 percent want to see an increase. There are significant differences by party affiliation, with Conservative voters being over six times more likely than Liberal voters… Continue Reading Canadians are divided on financial commitments to foreign and humanitarian aid – Conservative voters most likely to want to see a decrease; Liberal voters more likely to favour status quo. (Globe and Mail/ CTV News/ Nanos)

LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)

The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform.  Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days.  As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally the Liberals stand at 42.9… Continue Reading LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)

LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)

NDP support has slid after post debate bump. With less than a week to election day, the race between the Liberals and the Conservatives for ballot support continues to be close and stable (LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7).  However, the NDP after an initial marginal lift coming out of the debate, has slid as… Continue Reading LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)

LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)

The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5).  There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking – middle aged voters and… Continue Reading LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)

LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)

The Liberals close out the weekend following the French and English debates with a seven point lead over the Conservatives (LCP 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7).  In addition to their lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Liberals are currently ahead in battleground British Columbia. The Conservatives only lead in the Prairie provinces. Support… Continue Reading LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)

LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)

The impact of the two leadership debates is starting to play itself out with polling completed on Saturday.  Readers should note that no fieldwork was done on the Friday statutory holiday so the three day sample is based on April 16, 17 and 19. The Liberals have a six point advantage (LPC 43, CPC 37,… Continue Reading LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)

LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)

The latest CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking has the Liberals ahead by eight points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8) as the campaign enters the holiday weekend. The Liberals lead in four of five regions while Conservatives continue to enjoy a comfortable advantage in their Prairie heartland.  In the tracking following the French debate the… Continue Reading LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)

Carney, Poilievre a toss up as to who people trust to help young Canadians. Cost of living top issue...

Around one in three Canadians say they trust Mark Carney and the Liberals most to help young Canadians (34%) closely followed by those say Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives (31%). Young people more likely to trust Poilievre over Carney. Young Canadians also more likely to focus on cost of living (Cost of living most important… Continue Reading Carney, Poilievre a toss up as to who people trust to help young Canadians. Cost of living top issue for young voters, US trade war top issue for older Canadians (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/ Nanos)

Although Canadians are more likely to say they feel as safe compared to 10 years ago, Conservative v...

In addition to noteworthy differences by party affiliation, respondents in the Prairies, Ontario and BC are more likely than respondents in Quebec to say they feel somewhat less safe or less safe than they did ten years ago (45% in the Prairies; 43% in Ontario; 41% in BC; 24% in Quebec). Younger respondents are also… Continue Reading Although Canadians are more likely to say they feel as safe compared to 10 years ago, Conservative voters are the most likely to say they feel less safe. Trust in court system to punish convicted violent criminals a mixed bag – Liberals more likely to trust, Conservatives less likely to trust the courts. (Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)

LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)

The Liberals have a marginal five-point advantage over the Conservatives with a little over 10 days left in the campaign (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The first night of tracking which occurred concurrently with the French leaders debate shows the race in Quebec currently stable.  That said, debate impact many times has two phases. … Continue Reading LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)