More than seven in ten people (72%) are concerned or somewhat concerned that Canadian tariff retaliation will escalate tensions between Canada and the United States. This cuts across all regions, demographic groups and partisan preferences. (Survey ending April 6, 2025) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted… Continue Reading Majority of Canadians are concerned that any Canadian tariff retaliation with the United States will result in a further escalation of tensions (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
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Author: Nanos Research
Canadians give Carney a significant advantage over Poilievre on supporting economic growth. (CTV New...
Trust in Mark Carney to support economic growth is more than twice that of his Liberal predecessor, Justin Trudeau. Carney also significantly outscores Poilievre on trust, picking up voters who in the past didn’t trust anyone or were unsure. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of… Continue Reading Canadians give Carney a significant advantage over Poilievre on supporting economic growth. (CTV News/Nanos)
Forward looking Expectations Sub-indice hits two year low – Those reporting their job is secure hits
Canadian consumer confidence continues to slide in a negative trajectory with a noticeable decline in the forward-looking Expectations Sub-indice. Of note, this index has hit a two year low and those reporting their job is secure has hit an almost five year numeric low not seen since the summer of 2020. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data… Continue Reading Forward looking Expectations Sub-indice hits two year low – Those reporting their job is secure hits numeric low not seen since summer of 2020 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
LPC 42.8, CPC 37.7, NDP 7.9, BQ 6.7, GP 2.8, PPC 1.6 (Tracking ending April 6, 2025)
Now it’s a five-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives. The one thing we do know is that US President Trump has not been looming large in the Canadian mindset for the last number of days – especially compared to the period leading up to his “Liberation Day”. There have been no knock-out punches… Continue Reading LPC 42.8, CPC 37.7, NDP 7.9, BQ 6.7, GP 2.8, PPC 1.6 (Tracking ending April 6, 2025)
LPC 43.4, CPC 37.0, NDP 8.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.3, PPC 1.9 (Tracking ending April 5, 2025)
In the post Trump “Liberation Day” period the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives has narrowed with the Liberals at 43 percent and the Conservatives at 37 percent nationally. The New Democrats stand at eight percent support (eight percent represents a new numeric low for the NDP). Conservative gains have been in seat rich… Continue Reading LPC 43.4, CPC 37.0, NDP 8.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.3, PPC 1.9 (Tracking ending April 5, 2025)
Most Canadians think this upcoming election is more important than previous federal elections. (CTV ...
Close to nine in ten Canadians (86%) think this federal election is more important than previous elections, while 13 per cent think its as important and one per cent are unsure. Less than one per cent of Canadians think this federal election is less important than previous ones. Residents of Ontario (90%) and BC (90%)… Continue Reading Most Canadians think this upcoming election is more important than previous federal elections. (CTV News/Nanos)
LPC 45.9, CPC 34.9, NDP 9.2, BQ 5.2, GP 2.9, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 4, 2025)
The ballot advantage for the Liberals has increased from five to 11 percentage points since the beginning of the nightly tracking. (LPC 46, CPC 35, NDP 9). The Conservatives and Liberals are within the margin of error of each other among male voters for the first time in the Nanos tracking since June 2022. Liberals… Continue Reading LPC 45.9, CPC 34.9, NDP 9.2, BQ 5.2, GP 2.9, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 4, 2025)
Canadians are over three times more likely to say the Liberal Party most benefits from the tension i...
Across all demographic groups and regions, Canadians believe that the current environment with tension in the Canada-US relationship is more likely to benefit the Liberals. In addition to the focus as leader of the Liberal Party of Canada, being Prime Minister and responding to US President Trump is currently unfolding as an advantage for Liberal… Continue Reading Canadians are over three times more likely to say the Liberal Party most benefits from the tension in the Canada-US relationship than the Conservative Party (Globe/CTV/Nanos)
Election not to be decided until very end. Majority report having made final voting decision – one
Regardless of the current political environment, the election is clearly still up for grabs. Although 55 percent of Canadians report having made a final vote decision, a significant one in five say they will make their final decision in the last 72 hours (10% will make their final decision on election day and another 10%… Continue Reading Election not to be decided until very end. Majority report having made final voting decision – one in five will make final decision in the last 72 hours. (CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos)
Canadians are noticeably more likely to trust Carney to keep campaign promises than Poilievre (Globe...
Overall, Liberal leader Carney has a trust advantage over Conservative leader Poilievre (48% of Canadians trust Carney, 27% of Canadians trust Poilievre) when it comes to keeping promises. Of note, undecided voters report they are more likely to trust Carney over Poilievre (32% trust Carney, 10% trust Poilievre, 31% trust neither and 23% are unsure). … Continue Reading Canadians are noticeably more likely to trust Carney to keep campaign promises than Poilievre (Globe/CTV/Nanos)