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2014-07-16 Weekly Federal Party Power Index – ending July 11 (Nanos Research)

For the first time since early June, Stephen Harper has numerically surpassed Justin Trudeau on the preferred Prime Minister weekly tracking although the research suggests perceptions on this measure remain tight. Thirty one percent of Canadians said they would prefer Harper as Prime Minister compared to 29 percent for Trudeau and 19 percent for Mulcair. Also, of note, over the same period, Mulcair has gained ground from a low of 14 percent to his current level of 19 percent. Continue Reading 2014-07-16 Weekly Federal Party Power Index – ending July 11 (Nanos Research)

2014-07-30 Weekly Federal Party Power Index – ending July 15 (Nanos Research)

Nanos tracking on the preferred prime minister front suggests that Trudeau and Harper are still tied at 30 percent points each respectively while Mulcair, although third has recovered lost ground and is at 20 points (from a low of 14 percent in June 2014).

A roll-up of the Nanos Federal Party Power Index has the Liberals at 56 points out of a possible 100 points, with the Conservatives at 51 points, the NDP at 50 points, the Green Party at 33 points and the BQ at 26 points (Quebec only). Continue Reading 2014-07-30 Weekly Federal Party Power Index – ending July 15 (Nanos Research)

LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)

In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up.  National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at 5.9 percent and the Greens… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)

LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)

The Liberals close out the weekend following the French and English debates with a seven point lead over the Conservatives (LCP 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7).  In addition to their lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Liberals are currently ahead in battleground British Columbia. The Conservatives only lead in the Prairie provinces. Support… Continue Reading LPC 43.7, CPC 36.3, NDP 10.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 20, 2025)

LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)

The impact of the two leadership debates is starting to play itself out with polling completed on Saturday.  Readers should note that no fieldwork was done on the Friday statutory holiday so the three day sample is based on April 16, 17 and 19. The Liberals have a six point advantage (LPC 43, CPC 37,… Continue Reading LPC 43.2, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.7, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 19, 2025)

LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)

The latest CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking has the Liberals ahead by eight points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8) as the campaign enters the holiday weekend. The Liberals lead in four of five regions while Conservatives continue to enjoy a comfortable advantage in their Prairie heartland.  In the tracking following the French debate the… Continue Reading LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)

LPC 43.4, CPC 37.0, NDP 8.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.3, PPC 1.9 (Tracking ending April 5, 2025)

In the post Trump “Liberation Day” period the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives has narrowed with the Liberals at 43 percent and the Conservatives at 37 percent nationally. The New Democrats stand at eight percent support (eight percent represents a new numeric low for the NDP).  Conservative gains have been in seat rich… Continue Reading LPC 43.4, CPC 37.0, NDP 8.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.3, PPC 1.9 (Tracking ending April 5, 2025)

LPC 45.5, CPC 35.9, NDP 9.4, BQ 5.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 3, 2025)

Carney boosts Liberal fortunes. What is clear from the data is the Liberal advantage is clearly being driven by their new leader.  A look at the nightly ballot tracking has the Liberals with a 10 point lead over the Conservatives (LPC 46, CPC 36) with the New Democrats a distant third at nine percentage points. … Continue Reading LPC 45.5, CPC 35.9, NDP 9.4, BQ 5.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 3, 2025)

Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 43.6, CPC 36.1, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.3, GP 2.4, PPC 1.9 (CTV News/Globe and ...

 The Poilievre Conservatives are losing ground to the Carney Liberals, according to the latest CTV/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking poll. With the Liberals leading 44% to the Conservatives’ 36%, a significant shift has emerged in Ontario—a critical battleground for federal elections. Once a stronghold that bolstered Conservative hopes of victory, Ontario now sees the Liberals ahead… Continue Reading Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 43.6, CPC 36.1, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.3, GP 2.4, PPC 1.9 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)