The latest CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking has the Liberals ahead by eight points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8) as the campaign enters the holiday weekend. The Liberals lead in four of five regions while Conservatives continue to enjoy a comfortable advantage in their Prairie heartland. In the tracking following the French debate the… Continue Reading LPC 45.4, CPC 37.1, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.6, GP 2.9, PPC 0.7 (Tracking ending April 17, 2025)
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LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)
The Liberals have a marginal five-point advantage over the Conservatives with a little over 10 days left in the campaign (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The first night of tracking which occurred concurrently with the French leaders debate shows the race in Quebec currently stable. That said, debate impact many times has two phases. … Continue Reading LPC 43.5, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.3, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 16, 2025)
Feelings of optimism toward the federal government reach new seven year high while feelings of pessi...
Nanos conducted a survey on Canadians views of the federal government. One in three Canadians say optimism (32%) is the feeling that best describes their view of the federal government, representing an increase of 25 percentage points since the last wave in January 2025 and reaching a numerical high since tracking began. One in five… Continue Reading Feelings of optimism toward the federal government reach new seven year high while feelings of pessimism decline. People in Prairies most likely to remain angry but less so compared to the past. (Nanos)
LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 15, 2025)
Heading into the French language debate the Liberals are ahead by eight percentage points (LPC 45, CPC 37, NDP 8). In battleground Quebec the Liberals have an advantage over their opponents (LPC 45, BQ 28, CPC 19, NDP 5). The shape of the race in Quebec today is much different compared to the last federal… Continue Reading LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 15, 2025)
LPC 44.1, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.3, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 14, 2025)
Conservative support hits a 14 year election day high – but it is not enough. The Liberal advantage continues at five percentage points (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The interesting dynamic is that for the Conservatives, 39 percent is not enough to win the election. One should not be surprised that the Conservatives feel… Continue Reading LPC 44.1, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.3, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 14, 2025)
Three in five Canadians think Western separatism is serious to one extent to another – Think this is
A majority of Canadians across all regions and demographic groups believe Western separatism should be taken seriously/somewhat seriously. This intensity increases among committed Conservative and Bloc voters. Although a minority opinion, people living in the Prairies and British Columbia are comparatively more likely to think that this election is the time to talk about this… Continue Reading Three in five Canadians think Western separatism is serious to one extent to another – Think this isn’t a time to talk about provinces separating from Canada (Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
Liberals lead by seven points coming out of the weekend tracking (LPC 45, CPC 38, NDP 9). The four point Liberal advantage from a week ago has marginally widened but is not as significant as the one time 11-point Liberal lead earlier in the election. When asked which leader Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister… Continue Reading LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
What is striking about this election is the consolidation of votes around the two front running parties. Together, as of last night 83 percent of Canadians are voting either Liberal (44%) or Conservative (39%). As context, in the last election about 67 percent of Canadians voted for the Conservatives or the Liberals. The frontrunners are… Continue Reading LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
As we near the upcoming leadership debates the Liberals have a six-point lead over the Conservatives (LPC 43, CPC 37, NDP 10). Liberal support is strongest in Ontario, Atlantic Canada and Quebec while Conservative support is the strongest in the Prairies and British Columbia. Conservatives also do well among voters under 35 while the Liberals… Continue Reading LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
Canadians more than two times as likely to favour the government financially supporting workers impa...
A majority of Canadians support or somewhat support the government financially supporting workers negatively impacted by new US tariffs even if it increased the deficit and the national debt. Of note, the intensity of support is highest among voters who are currently committed to the Liberals or the NDP. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The… Continue Reading Canadians more than two times as likely to favour the government financially supporting workers impacted by new US tariffs than not. (The Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)