Conservative support hits a 14 year election day high – but it is not enough. The Liberal advantage continues at five percentage points (LPC 44, CPC 39, NDP 9). The interesting dynamic is that for the Conservatives, 39 percent is not enough to win the election. One should not be surprised that the Conservatives feel… Continue Reading LPC 44.1, CPC 38.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.3, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 14, 2025)
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Category: Federal election
Six in ten Canadians believe we are moving in the right direction for response to the US tariffs (CT...
A majority of Canadians (60%) believe the country is moving in the right direction on the response to the US tariffs. Of note, committed Conservatives are twice as likely to think we are moving in the wrong direction compared to the national average (50% CPC wrong direction, 23% Canadians wrong direction). -Nik Nanos, Chief Data… Continue Reading Six in ten Canadians believe we are moving in the right direction for response to the US tariffs (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/ Nanos)
How do we feel about Canada? 51% pretty good needs improvement, 33% great country, 16% broken (Globe
About one in six Canadian say “Canada is broken” compared to the majority that think it is good but needs improvement (51%) or is a great country (33%). Of note, Committed Conservatives are much less likely to say Canada is a great country (14% CPC, compared to 33% nationally) and are more likely to believe… Continue Reading How do we feel about Canada? 51% pretty good needs improvement, 33% great country, 16% broken (Globe and Mail/CTV News/ Nanos)
Three in five Canadians think Western separatism is serious to one extent to another – Think this is
A majority of Canadians across all regions and demographic groups believe Western separatism should be taken seriously/somewhat seriously. This intensity increases among committed Conservative and Bloc voters. Although a minority opinion, people living in the Prairies and British Columbia are comparatively more likely to think that this election is the time to talk about this… Continue Reading Three in five Canadians think Western separatism is serious to one extent to another – Think this isn’t a time to talk about provinces separating from Canada (Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos)
LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
Liberals lead by seven points coming out of the weekend tracking (LPC 45, CPC 38, NDP 9). The four point Liberal advantage from a week ago has marginally widened but is not as significant as the one time 11-point Liberal lead earlier in the election. When asked which leader Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister… Continue Reading LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
What is striking about this election is the consolidation of votes around the two front running parties. Together, as of last night 83 percent of Canadians are voting either Liberal (44%) or Conservative (39%). As context, in the last election about 67 percent of Canadians voted for the Conservatives or the Liberals. The frontrunners are… Continue Reading LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
As we near the upcoming leadership debates the Liberals have a six-point lead over the Conservatives (LPC 43, CPC 37, NDP 10). Liberal support is strongest in Ontario, Atlantic Canada and Quebec while Conservative support is the strongest in the Prairies and British Columbia. Conservatives also do well among voters under 35 while the Liberals… Continue Reading LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
It is an East versus West show down in popular support with the Liberals leading in Eastern Canada, the Conservatives leading in the Prairies and British Columbia being a toss-up. The Liberal advantage in national ballot support continues with the party six points ahead of their Conservative competitors (LPC 44, CPC 38, NDP 9). The… Continue Reading LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
The close race between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues with only a five point difference between the two main parties (LPC 43, CPC 38, NDP 9). On the leadership front, although Carney has a comfortable lead on who Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister (Carney 47, Poilievre 35), Poilievre has been incrementally closing the… Continue Reading LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
Canadians give Mark Carney the advantage over Pierre Poilievre on negotiating with President Trump; ...
More than three in five Canadians (62%) think Mark Carney would do the best job at negotiating with US President Donald Trump, while one in four believe Pierre Poilievre would do the best job (24%). Bernier, Blanchet and Singh each received one per cent, while fewer than one per cent each think Elizabeth May or… Continue Reading Canadians give Mark Carney the advantage over Pierre Poilievre on negotiating with President Trump; two in three are concerned about a possible recession in the next year (The Globe and Mail/La Presse/Nanos)