Canadians give Mark Carney the advantage over Pierre Poilievre on negotiating with President Trump; two in three are concerned about a possible recession in the next year (The Globe and Mail/La Presse/Nanos)

More than three in five Canadians (62%) think Mark Carney would do the best job at negotiating with US President Donald Trump, while one in four believe Pierre Poilievre would do the best job (24%). Bernier, Blanchet and Singh each received one per cent, while fewer than one per cent each think Elizabeth May or Jonathan Pedneault would do the best job. Five per cent believe there is no difference. Residents of the Greater Montreal Area are more likely to think Mark Carney would do the best (72%) than residents of the rest of Quebec (61%).

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,223 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between March 29th and April 3rd , 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. An oversample was conducted in Quebec for a total of 402 interviews (n=207 in Greater Montreal; n=195 in rest of Quebec).

The statistical tabulations including the unweighted and weighted number of interviews can be accessed here.

This study was commissioned by the Globe and Mail and La Presse, and the research was conducted by Nanos Research.

To read the full report, click here.