Recent Reports
Canadians are over three times more likely to say the Liberal Party most benefits from the tension in the Canada-US relationship than the Conservative Party (Globe/CTV/Nanos)
Across all demographic groups and regions, Canadians believe that the current environment with tension in the Canada-US relationship is more likely to benefit the Liberals. In addition to the focus as leader of the Liberal Party of Canada, being Prime Minister and responding to US President Trump is currently unfolding…
Election not to be decided until very end. Majority report having made final voting decision – one in five will make final decision in the last 72 hours. (CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos)
Regardless of the current political environment, the election is clearly still up for grabs. Although 55 percent of Canadians report having made a final vote decision, a significant one in five say they will make their final decision in the last 72 hours (10% will make their final decision on…
Canadians are noticeably more likely to trust Carney to keep campaign promises than Poilievre (Globe/CTV/Nanos)
Overall, Liberal leader Carney has a trust advantage over Conservative leader Poilievre (48% of Canadians trust Carney, 27% of Canadians trust Poilievre) when it comes to keeping promises. Of note, undecided voters report they are more likely to trust Carney over Poilievre (32% trust Carney, 10% trust Poilievre, 31% trust…
Seventeen percent of Canadians say the PM should be perfectly bilingual and another 22 percent want strong French language skills. Rest say strong French language skills not needed. (CTV/Globe/Nanos)
There is an interesting range of opinions on French language capability for the next PM. Seventeen percent want the PM to be perfectly bilingual while another 22 percent want the PM to have strong French language skills. The most popular response was that the PM needs working knowledge (38%). Although…
Over four in five Canadians care to one extent or another about the size of the deficit. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
People continue to care about the size of the Government of Canada deficit. This in the wake of a focus on the binational relationship and economic uncertainty. The intensity of care has marginally declined. Overall, the numbers are consistent with the 2021 baseline. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land-…
Canadians show strong support for construction of pipeline between Alberta and Eastern Canada (Bloomberg/Nanos)
In the wake of an unpredictable relationship with the Trump Administration in the US, Canadians are quite supportive of a new government funded oil pipeline from Alberta to Eastern Canada. Three of four Canadians favour this project including almost six in ten Quebecers. A majority of Canadians support or somewhat…
LPC 45.5, CPC 35.9, NDP 9.4, BQ 5.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 3, 2025)
Carney boosts Liberal fortunes. What is clear from the data is the Liberal advantage is clearly being driven by their new leader. A look at the nightly ballot tracking has the Liberals with a 10 point lead over the Conservatives (LPC 46, CPC 36) with the New Democrats a distant…
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 45.8, CPC 36.7, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.7, PPC 1.1 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
The latest national tracking survey shows a lift in support for the Liberal Party, now leading with 46% of voter backing. The Conservatives follow at 37%, while the New Democrats trail at a tracking low of 9%, dipping from 11% in earlier tracking. Over the initial five days of data…
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 45.1, CPC 37.2, NDP 9.2, BQ 5.3, GP 1.6, PPC 1.1 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
It’s a two-party consolidation compared to past elections. The Carney Liberals continue to have an eight-point advantage over the Poilievre Conservatives. Compared to past elections a two-party consolidation is redefining the election landscape. A key signature of this election is the consolidation of support among the two front running parties. …
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 44.7, CPC 36.6, NDP 10.1, BQ 5.6, GP 1.6, PPC 1.3 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
As the campaign unfolds the Carney Liberals have opened up an eight-point advantage over the Poilievre Conservatives while the NDP continues to distantly trail. The Liberals lead in every region except the Prairie provinces where the Conservatives continue to do very well. Women are more likely to vote Liberal while…
Importance of oil and gas to Canada’s current and future economy hits new high; majority of Canadians don’t want to align with the US on energy or climate policies. (Positive Energy/Nanos)
Close to nine in ten Canadians rate oil and gas as important to Canada’s current economy (score of 7-10 out of 10) (88%) which is a significant increase from the previous wave in August 2024 (79%), and an all-time high since tracking began in 2020. Additionally, an increasing proportion see…
Over three in five Canadians support or somewhat support Mark Carney disclosing financial assets in blind trust and Pierre Poilievre obtaining security clearance (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/Nanos)
What is clear from the research is that Canadians hold the leaders of the two front running parties to a high level of accountability. More than six in ten would want Carney to disclose details of his blind trust and six in ten want Poilievre to obtain a security clearance.…
Three in four Canadians in favour of putting tariffs on energy and critical mineral exports to the US in response to US tariffs (Globe/CTV/Nanos)
As Canadians brace for US President Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” and potential tariffs, they very much support action whether it be retaliation with putting tariffs on energy or critical mineral exports. Of note, a majority of individuals in the energy-rich Prairie provinces support this retaliation. When asked about buying…
Percentage of Canadians who think economy will get weaker in next six months nears high not seen since June 2020 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Consumer confidence continues to decline largely on negative views on the future strength of the Canadian economy which has neared a high not seen since the global pandemic in June 2020. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,123…
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 43.6, CPC 36.1, NDP 10.5, BQ 5.3, GP 2.4, PPC 1.9 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
The Poilievre Conservatives are losing ground to the Carney Liberals, according to the latest CTV/Globe and Mail/Nanos tracking poll. With the Liberals leading 44% to the Conservatives’ 36%, a significant shift has emerged in Ontario—a critical battleground for federal elections. Once a stronghold that bolstered Conservative hopes of victory, Ontario…
Federal Nightly Tracking: LPC 41.9, CPC 37.0, NDP 10.6, BQ 5.3, GP 2.6, PPC 1.9 (CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos)
As the first three-day sample of the campaign concludes, the Liberals, led by Mark Carney, are emerging as the frontrunners in a tightly contested race. Support for the party has surged, drawing voters away from the NDP, Bloc Québécois, and Greens. Meanwhile, the Conservatives maintain a steady base, setting the…
Over 9 in 10 residents remain generally satisfied with town services > 8 in 10 say more affordable housing needed (Town of Tecumseh/Nanos)
The research gauged the opinions among residents of the Town of Tecumseh on overall quality of life in the Town, issues of concern, importance and satisfaction with Town services, importance of policing services strategic goals, recreational activities, housing and communications with the Town. Nanos conducted an RDD random telephone survey…
Concern about Trump continues to rise > Conservatives 37, Liberals 34, NDP 14. (Nanos)
Nanos tracks unprompted issues of concern every week. To access full weekly national and regional tracking visit the Nanos subscriber data portal. Focus on US President Trump continues to intensify as the top unprompted national issue of concern. Conservatives and Liberals remain gripped in a close race as NDP support…
Consumer confidence continues to erode in wake of Canada-US tensions (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Key indicators such as the future strength of the Canadian economy and perceptions related to the value of real estate continue to track on a negative trajectory in the wake of heightened Canada-US tensions. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random…
Three in four Canadians want to increase defense spending to at least two per cent (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Close to seven in ten Canadians prefer increasing defense spending to reach the current two per cent NATO ally target (69%) of the GDP, followed by those who want to maintain our current level of spending at 1.4% (13%) and those who prefer to increase spending to a potential new…