Recent Reports
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.7, Liberals 31.9, NDP 16.5, Greens 3.8 (CTV News/Nanos)
The Ford PCs lead by 14 points going into the close of the campaign. Of note, Liberal support is moving up while NDP support is moving down in the latest polling. PCs lead in four of five regions with Toronto as a toss-up in the tracking. (Tracking ending Feb 25)…
Almost three in 10 Ontarians strategically voting (CTV News/Nanos)
Although a majority of Ontarians report they will be voting for a party or leader they like, a noticeable percentage say they are voting against a party (17 percent) or a leader (11 per cent) they do not want to win. Strategic voters are more likely to be Liberals, New…
Majority of Ontarians say they decided on their vote before the campaign began. Three in ten say they may change their mind (CTV News/Nanos)
Although a majority of Ontarians say they have made up their mind before the campaign even started (59 per cent), a significant three of ten (29 per cent) say they are leaning towards a party but may change their mind. PCs supporters were the most decided going in and compared…
Trump and jobs statistically tied as top issue of concern > Conservatives 37, Liberals 33 (Nanos)
Nanos tracks unprompted issues of concern every week. To access full weekly national and regional tracking visit the Nanos subscriber data portal. Nanos weekly tracking now has gap between the Conservatives and the Liberals narrowing even further. This is in the context of a concern about Trump on the rise…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.4, Liberals 29.3, NDP 18.8, Greens 4.3 (CTV News/Nanos)
Progressive Conservatives open up a 16-point ballot advantage in the last week of the provincial election campaign. PC leader Doug Ford ahead of other leaders by 17 points as person Ontarians would prefer as premier. (Tracking ending Feb 24) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News/Nanos nightly provincial election…
Ontarians are most likely to say the outcome of the next federal and provincial elections and US President Trump’s actions against Canada are of equal importance (CTV News/Nanos)
Although the most popular response was that the federal and provincial elections and Trump were of equal importance, beyond that response, the provincial election trailed both the importance of the federal election and US President Trump’s actions against Canada. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News/Nanos nightly provincial election…
Reducing income taxes is the most popular idea to help with the rising cost of living (CTV News/Nanos)
Lowering income taxes emerges as the most preferred approach to help with the rising cost of living in Ontario, with 36% overall support. Meanwhile, increasing the minimum wage (28%) and reducing sales taxes (24%) are also favored solutions, each supported by about a quarter of Ontarians. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data…
Ontarians say the top priority for the Ontario education system should be managing class sizes (CTV News/Nanos)
According to recent CTV News/Nanos survey data on the Ontario election, Ontarians say managing class sizes should be the top priority for the Ontario education system, followed by increasing standardized test scores of students in math and English. Residents of the Golden West region are more likely to say these…
Slight trust advantage for the NDP for creating an environment allowing for more affordable housing to be built. (CTV News/Nanos)
New Democrats enjoy a marginal advantage among voters on the issue of affordable housing. This advantage is stronger among younger Ontarians as they are twice as likely to trust the NPD on this issue rather than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives. Twenty-eight per cent trust the NDP most to create…
Forward looking expectations hits a 98 week low (Bloomberg/ Nanos)
The Expectations Sub-indice which tracks views on the future strength of the Canadian economy and the future value of real estate hit a 98 week low in the Nanos tracking. The Sub-indice has not been this low since April 2023. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 44.0, Liberals 29.0, NDP 19.8, Greens 4.8 (CTV News/Nanos)
Comfortable advantage for Ford PCs continues going into the last week of the campaign. The PCs lead in all age groups while the New Democrats are ahead of the Liberals among voters under 35 years of age but trail Liberals among voters over 35 years of age. On the preferred…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 43.8, Liberals 28.8, NDP 19.6, Greens 5.1 (CTV News/Nanos)
The Progressive Conservatives lead by 15 points and are ahead of the other parties in four of five regions. Of note, the gap between the Liberals and the New Democrats is narrowing and the NDP is neck-and-neck with the Liberals for second place in the Hamilton Niagara Golden West Region…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 42.6, Liberals 30.5, NDP 18.6, Greens 6.2 (CTV News/Nanos)
Ford PCs continue to lead but gap narrows to 12 percentage points between them and the Liberals. Liberals ahead in Toronto, Progressive Conservatives out front in the rest of the province. NDP support is up in the Hamilton Niagara region, now tied with the Liberals but both still trail the…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.2, Liberals 31.3, NDP 16.8, Greens 5.1 (CTV News/Nanos)
The Ontario PCs hold a fourteen point advantage over the Liberals in ballot support and lead in all regions except Toronto. Of note in Toronto, Liberals are ahead of the PCs and Crombie tops Ford as preferred premier by 10 points. (Tracking ending Feb 20) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist…
Over four in five Canadians say that it is important that all organizations using animals for medical and scientific purposes in Canada be mandated to adhere to an ethical standards and oversight system (CCAC/Nanos)
The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on the use of animals for scientific and medical purposes in Canada. It gauged the level of care for the use of animals in Canadian science for medial and scientific purposes, the level of awareness, level of acceptability of animal use when no…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 44.1, Liberals 30.7, NDP 16.6, Greens 6.6
Ontario Progressive Conservatives lead with a 13-point advantage over the Liberals. PCs lead among all age groups and among men while women are a tight race between the two front running parties. (Tracking ending Feb 19) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News/Nanos nightly provincial election tracking conducted by…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 45.8, Liberals 29.7, NDP 15.9, Greens 6.7
Progressive Conservatives hold onto double digit lead with less than 10 days left in the provincial election campaign. Doug Ford ahead of Bonnie Crombie by 17-points as person preferred as premier of Ontario. (Tracking ending Feb 18) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The CTV News/Nanos nightly provincial election tracking conducted…
Conservatives 39, Liberals 32, NDP 15, BQ 8, GPC 4, PPC 2 (Nanos)
Nanos tracks unprompted issues of concern every week. To access full weekly national and regional tracking visit the Nanos subscriber data portal. The gap between the Conservatives and the Liberals remains much narrower than in the past year. Concern about US President Trump and US relations continues to trend upward…
Forward looking expectations slide in wake of Trump steel and aluminum tariff threat (nanos/Bloomberg)
After stabilizing for a couple of weeks the forward looking Expectations Sub-indice slid concurrently with US President Donald Trump announcing steel and aluminum tariffs on Canada. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,018 respondents in Canada. This report…
Ontario Nightly Tracking: PCs 46.4, Liberals 27.0, NDP 17.9, Greens 6.7 (CTV News/Nanos)
The Progressive Conservative Party has opened up a significant 19-point advantage over the Ontario Liberals, buoyed by improved support in the City of Toronto. Premier Doug Ford continues to maintain a comfortable lead as the preferred choice for Premier among Ontarians. (Tracking ending Feb 16) -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist…