Concern about jobs/the economy has been on rise while focus on Trump/US relations on the decline over the past number of weeks. Also of note, the trend line from the election with the Liberals and Conservatives being in a tight race continues in the post-election period. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking… Continue Reading Concern about jobs/the economy numerically surpasses concern about Trump/US for first time since February. Liberals and Conservatives tied in popular support. (Nanos)
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Category: Political tracking
Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8 (Nan
Compared to four weeks ago, concern about Trump and US relations has been on a noticeable decline as other issue concerns such as inflation, healthcare, housing, the environment and immigration have been numerically increasing. Also of note, the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives remains tight. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos… Continue Reading Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8 (Nanos)
Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8 (Nanos)
Close race continues between the Liberals and the Conservatives in the post election period with only a three point gap between the front-runners. Canadians continue to be fixated on Trump as their top issue of concern and Carney continues lead as the person people would prefer as Prime Minister. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The… Continue Reading Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8 (Nanos)
ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)
The final Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos tracking is complete. The interviews were completed today (Sunday April 27) and released the same day. 2025 was a seismic period in federal politics. The year opened with the Conservatives at 47 percent support followed by the Liberals at a lowly 20 percent on the eve of Justin Trudeau’s… Continue Reading ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 26, 2025)
Less than a handful of percentage points separates the two front running parties on the tracking ending the Saturday before election day. Support for the Liberals stands at 43.0 percent, followed by the Conservatives at 38.9 percent and the New Democrats at 8.0 percent nationally. British Columbia is an absolute toss up between the Conservatives… Continue Reading LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 26, 2025)
LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)
The gap between the two front runners has narrowed to three percentage points as we enter the closing weekend of the campaign. Key movement over the last few days has been in battleground Ontario where the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives is closing. The Liberal advantage stands at five percentage points, half what… Continue Reading LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up. National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at 5.9 percent and the Greens… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform. Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days. As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally the Liberals stand at 42.9… Continue Reading LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)
NDP support has slid after post debate bump. With less than a week to election day, the race between the Liberals and the Conservatives for ballot support continues to be close and stable (LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7). However, the NDP after an initial marginal lift coming out of the debate, has slid as… Continue Reading LPC 44.1, CPC 38.5, NDP 7.7, BQ 5.4, GP 3.4, PPC 0.9 (Tracking ending April 22, 2025)
LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)
The gap is currently 5.5 percentage points between the Liberals and the Conservatives (LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.5). There has been some movement numerically from the Liberals to the NDP while Conservative support remains steady. There are two key groups that are absolute toss-ups in the latest nightly tracking – middle aged voters and… Continue Reading LPC 42.6, CPC 37.1, NDP 10.4, BQ 5.9, GP 3.1, PPC 0.8 (Tracking ending April 21, 2025)