Liberals lead by seven points coming out of the weekend tracking (LPC 45, CPC 38, NDP 9). The four point Liberal advantage from a week ago has marginally widened but is not as significant as the one time 11-point Liberal lead earlier in the election. When asked which leader Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister… Continue Reading LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 13, 2025)
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Category: Political tracking
LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
What is striking about this election is the consolidation of votes around the two front running parties. Together, as of last night 83 percent of Canadians are voting either Liberal (44%) or Conservative (39%). As context, in the last election about 67 percent of Canadians voted for the Conservatives or the Liberals. The frontrunners are… Continue Reading LPC 44.3, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 5.2, GP 2.0, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 12, 2025)
LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
As we near the upcoming leadership debates the Liberals have a six-point lead over the Conservatives (LPC 43, CPC 37, NDP 10). Liberal support is strongest in Ontario, Atlantic Canada and Quebec while Conservative support is the strongest in the Prairies and British Columbia. Conservatives also do well among voters under 35 while the Liberals… Continue Reading LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 11, 2025)
LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
It is an East versus West show down in popular support with the Liberals leading in Eastern Canada, the Conservatives leading in the Prairies and British Columbia being a toss-up. The Liberal advantage in national ballot support continues with the party six points ahead of their Conservative competitors (LPC 44, CPC 38, NDP 9). The… Continue Reading LPC 43.6, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.7, BQ 5.6, GP 2.4, PPC 1.7 (Tracking ending April 10, 2025)
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
The close race between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues with only a five point difference between the two main parties (LPC 43, CPC 38, NDP 9). On the leadership front, although Carney has a comfortable lead on who Canadians would prefer as Prime Minister (Carney 47, Poilievre 35), Poilievre has been incrementally closing the… Continue Reading LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5 (Tracking ending April 9, 2025)
LPC 42.8, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 6.2, GP 2.3, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 8, 2025)
We are in a world where 39 percent support for the Conservatives is not enough to win an election. This is a result of the increasing polarization centred around the two front running parties. Currently, the Liberal advantage has narrowed to four percentage points (Liberals 43, Conservatives 39, NDP 9). Also of note, Carney retains… Continue Reading LPC 42.8, CPC 38.6, NDP 8.5, BQ 6.2, GP 2.3, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 8, 2025)
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.1, BQ 6.6, GP 2.8, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 7, 2025)
The narrowed five-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues as voting day looms less than three weeks away. Compared to three days ago, the Liberals are down three points and the Conservatives up three in popular support. The Liberals have an advantage in four of five regions but the gap with the Conservatives… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.1, BQ 6.6, GP 2.8, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 7, 2025)
LPC 42.8, CPC 37.7, NDP 7.9, BQ 6.7, GP 2.8, PPC 1.6 (Tracking ending April 6, 2025)
Now it’s a five-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives. The one thing we do know is that US President Trump has not been looming large in the Canadian mindset for the last number of days – especially compared to the period leading up to his “Liberation Day”. There have been no knock-out punches… Continue Reading LPC 42.8, CPC 37.7, NDP 7.9, BQ 6.7, GP 2.8, PPC 1.6 (Tracking ending April 6, 2025)
LPC 43.4, CPC 37.0, NDP 8.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.3, PPC 1.9 (Tracking ending April 5, 2025)
In the post Trump “Liberation Day” period the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives has narrowed with the Liberals at 43 percent and the Conservatives at 37 percent nationally. The New Democrats stand at eight percent support (eight percent represents a new numeric low for the NDP). Conservative gains have been in seat rich… Continue Reading LPC 43.4, CPC 37.0, NDP 8.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.3, PPC 1.9 (Tracking ending April 5, 2025)
LPC 45.9, CPC 34.9, NDP 9.2, BQ 5.2, GP 2.9, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 4, 2025)
The ballot advantage for the Liberals has increased from five to 11 percentage points since the beginning of the nightly tracking. (LPC 46, CPC 35, NDP 9). The Conservatives and Liberals are within the margin of error of each other among male voters for the first time in the Nanos tracking since June 2022. Liberals… Continue Reading LPC 45.9, CPC 34.9, NDP 9.2, BQ 5.2, GP 2.9, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 4, 2025)