Conservative support is plummeting in the wake of the Speech from the Throne. During the election, ballot support for the frontrunning parties was a dead heat, currently the Liberals lead by 10 percentage points. Liberal Leader Mark Carney is opening up a 25-point advantage over Pierre Poilievre as the person Canadians would prefer as Prime… Continue Reading Conservatives plummet in support: LPC 43, CPC 33, NDP 12 (Nanos)
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Category: Political tracking
Trump concern fading as worry about healthcare and housing on the rise – Liberals and Conservatives
A noticeable decline in concern about Trump/the US has occurred over the past four weeks. These concerns have been replaced with worry about healthcare (up nine points in four weeks) and housing (up four points in four weeks). National ballot support is a dead heat between the Liberals (40%) and the Conservatives (39%). -Nik Nanos,… Continue Reading Trump concern fading as worry about healthcare and housing on the rise – Liberals and Conservatives tied in ballot support. (Nanos)
Concern about jobs/the economy numerically surpasses concern about Trump/US for first time since Feb...
Concern about jobs/the economy has been on rise while focus on Trump/US relations on the decline over the past number of weeks. Also of note, the trend line from the election with the Liberals and Conservatives being in a tight race continues in the post-election period. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking… Continue Reading Concern about jobs/the economy numerically surpasses concern about Trump/US for first time since February. Liberals and Conservatives tied in popular support. (Nanos)
Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8 (Nan
Compared to four weeks ago, concern about Trump and US relations has been on a noticeable decline as other issue concerns such as inflation, healthcare, housing, the environment and immigration have been numerically increasing. Also of note, the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives remains tight. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos… Continue Reading Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8 (Nanos)
Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8 (Nanos)
Close race continues between the Liberals and the Conservatives in the post election period with only a three point gap between the front-runners. Canadians continue to be fixated on Trump as their top issue of concern and Carney continues lead as the person people would prefer as Prime Minister. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The… Continue Reading Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8 (Nanos)
ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)
The final Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos tracking is complete. The interviews were completed today (Sunday April 27) and released the same day. 2025 was a seismic period in federal politics. The year opened with the Conservatives at 47 percent support followed by the Liberals at a lowly 20 percent on the eve of Justin Trudeau’s… Continue Reading ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)
LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 26, 2025)
Less than a handful of percentage points separates the two front running parties on the tracking ending the Saturday before election day. Support for the Liberals stands at 43.0 percent, followed by the Conservatives at 38.9 percent and the New Democrats at 8.0 percent nationally. British Columbia is an absolute toss up between the Conservatives… Continue Reading LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 26, 2025)
LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)
The gap between the two front runners has narrowed to three percentage points as we enter the closing weekend of the campaign. Key movement over the last few days has been in battleground Ontario where the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives is closing. The Liberal advantage stands at five percentage points, half what… Continue Reading LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)
LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up. National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at 5.9 percent and the Greens… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)
LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)
The gap is narrowing on both ballot preferences and who Canadians want as Prime Minister concurrent with the full release of the Conservative platform. Poilievre and the Conservatives are up over the past three days. As of last night, it is the tightest since the tracking began this election. Nationally the Liberals stand at 42.9… Continue Reading LPC 42.9, CPC 39.3, NDP 7.2, BQ 6.0, GP 3.0, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 23, 2025)