The Carney Liberals have a comfortable double-digit advantage over the Poilievre Conservatives. Canadians remain focused on jobs/the economy and Trump/US as the top unprompted national issue of concern. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States.… Continue Reading Liberals 45.1, Conservatives 32.6, NDP 11.5 – Canadians most concerned about jobs/the economy and Trump/US relations. (Nanos)
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Category: Issues of concern
Consumer confidence steady for past eight weeks. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Canadian consumer confidence continues to track in marginally positive territory over the past eight weeks. Of note, reported job security is lower now compared to four weeks ago. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,056 respondents in Canada. This report is based… Continue Reading Consumer confidence steady for past eight weeks. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Liberals 44.5, Conservatives 31.4, NDP 12.8 – Poilievre trails Carney as preferred PM by 30 points.
The post election period continues to favour the Carney Liberals who have a double-digit lead over the Poilievre Conservatives. On the preferred Prime Minister tracking Carney is ahead by a significant 30 percentage points. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates… Continue Reading Liberals 44.5, Conservatives 31.4, NDP 12.8 – Poilievre trails Carney as preferred PM by 30 points. (Nanos)
Consumer confidence hits high not seen since November 2024. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Consumer confidence continues to incrementally trend upwards hitting a level not seen since November of 2024. Ontario and British Columbia remain confidence laggards registering lower consumer confidence than the rest of Canada. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,076 respondents in Canada.… Continue Reading Consumer confidence hits high not seen since November 2024. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
National Ballot: LPC 45, CPC 31, NDP 12 – Poilievre trails Carney by 29 points as preferred PM (Nano
Liberals continue to pull ahead of the Conservative with the Carney government enjoying a 13-point advantage. This compared to a ballot support toss up in the recent federal election. Also of note, Poilievre, whose profile has diminished in the post election period now trails by a significant 29 points in terms of who Canadians would… Continue Reading National Ballot: LPC 45, CPC 31, NDP 12 – Poilievre trails Carney by 29 points as preferred PM (Nanos)
Forward-looking Expectations Sub-indice neutral which is its highest score in seven months (Bloombe...
Consumer confidence is uneven from a regional perspective. Ontarians and British Columbians both lag other parts of Canada when it comes to economic sentiment. The Pocketbook Sub-indice remains stable while there has been improvement in the forward-looking Expectations Sub-indice. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone… Continue Reading Forward-looking Expectations Sub-indice neutral which is its highest score in seven months (Bloomberg/Nanos)
LPC 44, CPC 32, NDP 11 > Poilievre hits personal low on preferred PM tracking (Nanos)
The gap between the Carney Liberals and the Poilievre Conservatives continues with the Liberals opening a 12 percentage point advantage. Of note, the proportion of Canadians who prefer Conservative Leader Poilievre as PM has hit the lowest level since he assumed the leadership of the party in 2022. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly… Continue Reading LPC 44, CPC 32, NDP 11 > Poilievre hits personal low on preferred PM tracking (Nanos)
Forward looking Expectations Sub-indice moves from negative to neutral for the first time in more th...
Overall consumer confidence remains marginally positive with the Expectations Sub-indice trending from negative to neutral for the first time in more than six months. Beneath the surface, personal finances showed negative pressure over the past four weeks while the future view on the strength of the economy showed some strength. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data… Continue Reading Forward looking Expectations Sub-indice moves from negative to neutral for the first time in more than six months. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Trade Standoff: Canadians Back Tariffs on U.S. Imports Despite Cost Concerns. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
“Further uncertainty and new tariffs on Canadian goods by the US will reinforce appetite for a Canadian tariff response.” -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,120 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between June 1st and 3rd, 2025 as… Continue Reading Trade Standoff: Canadians Back Tariffs on U.S. Imports Despite Cost Concerns. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Conservatives plummet in support: LPC 43, CPC 33, NDP 12 (Nanos)
Conservative support is plummeting in the wake of the Speech from the Throne. During the election, ballot support for the frontrunning parties was a dead heat, currently the Liberals lead by 10 percentage points. Liberal Leader Mark Carney is opening up a 25-point advantage over Pierre Poilievre as the person Canadians would prefer as Prime… Continue Reading Conservatives plummet in support: LPC 43, CPC 33, NDP 12 (Nanos)