Although only a week out of the tracking there is no current lift for the Conservatives or Poilievre coming out of their convention. They continue to trail the Liberals by four points. Poilievre remains 29 points behind Carney on the preferred PM tracking. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by… Continue Reading No lift for Poilievre Conservatives coming out of Calgary gathering – LPC 39, CPC 35, NDP 13 (Nanos)
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Category: Issues of concern
Confidence up, hits level not seen since August 2025 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
After a prolonged flatline trend, consumer confidence is up for the first time in almost six months. The Bloomberg Nanos Index is largely up on more positive sentiment related to personal finances and job security compared to four weeks ago. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines)… Continue Reading Confidence up, hits level not seen since August 2025 (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Canadian concern about Trump surges – Liberals lead by four points – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 29
Concern about Trump/US relations has surged in the wake of the WEF Davos meeting which featured speeches by Carney and Trump. Liberals hold a tenuous four point lead over the Conservatives while Carney has opened up a substantial 29 point advantage on the preferred PM tracking. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking… Continue Reading Canadian concern about Trump surges – Liberals lead by four points – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 29 points. (Nanos)
Consumer confidence flatlines in neutral – Positive perceptions on future strength of economy hits 1
Consumer confidence in Canada continues to flatline in neutral. Of note, the percentage of Canadians who believe the economy will get stronger in the next six months has hit a 10 week low. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,055 respondents in… Continue Reading Consumer confidence flatlines in neutral – Positive perceptions on future strength of economy hits 10 week low. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Importance of reducing grocery costs twice as high as reducing housing costs. (CTV News/Nanos)
This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on areas of spending where they would like to see more reduced costs in 2026. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,077 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between December 27th and December 29th, 2025, as part… Continue Reading Importance of reducing grocery costs twice as high as reducing housing costs. (CTV News/Nanos)
Concern about Trump/US relations on the rise, closing gap with jobs/the economy – LPC 39, CPC 35, ND
Concern about Trump/US relations is on the rise, up six points in four weeks. Jobs/the economy remains the top national issue of concern. There is a four-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives in ballot support. While Carney is ahead of Poilievre in the preferred PM by 28 percentage points. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data… Continue Reading Concern about Trump/US relations on the rise, closing gap with jobs/the economy – LPC 39, CPC 35, NDP 12. (Nanos)
Canadian consumer remains tentative. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Canadian consumer confidence remains gripped in neutrality with a score at 50.36 points on the 100 point diffusion index. People are two and one half times more likely to believe that the Canadian economy will get weaker rather than stronger in the next six months. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD… Continue Reading Canadian consumer remains tentative. (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Liberals 39, Conservatives 35, NDP 12 – Jobs/the economy, Trump/US relations and inflation round out
Concern about US president Trump is up although still trails jobs/the economy as the top national issue of concern. The Liberals have a marginal advantage over the Conservatives but Carney leads Poilievre by 26 percentage points when Canadians are asked who they would prefer as PM. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking… Continue Reading Liberals 39, Conservatives 35, NDP 12 – Jobs/the economy, Trump/US relations and inflation round out top national issues of concern of Canadians. (Nanos)
Waiting to exhale: Canadian consumer confidence trapped in neutral (Bloomberg/Nanos)
For the past six months, consumer confidence has generally been in neutral territory as Canadians wait to see what the next steps in the Canada US trade relationship might bring. In this context people are neither exuberant or despondent. – Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone… Continue Reading Waiting to exhale: Canadian consumer confidence trapped in neutral (Bloomberg/Nanos)
Liberals 39, Conservatives 36, NDP 11 – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 22 points on preferred PM track
Tight race between the two front-running parties continues in the federal weekly ballot tracking by Nanos. Poilievre trails Carney by 22 points, when Canadians are asked who they would prefer as PM. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada… Continue Reading Liberals 39, Conservatives 36, NDP 11 – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 22 points on preferred PM tracking. (Nanos)