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Views on Canadian investment climate continue to weaken since 2022, reaching another all-time low. (...

The AmCham-Nanos American Investment in Canda Index continues to decline, reaching an all-time low index score of 27 points points in October 2023 and 37 points compared to 34 in October 2022. The index score for the current business environment significantly declined from 41 points 2023 to 32 points in October in February 2025, while… Continue Reading Views on Canadian investment climate continue to weaken since 2022, reaching another all-time low. (AmCham Canada/Nanos)

Consumer confidence hits low not seen since December 2022 (Bloomberg/Nanos)

Canadian consumer confidence continues in a negative trajectory and has hit a low not seen since the close of 2022.  Positivity on the future as measured by the Expectations Sub-indice has continued on the negative trajectory which started with the election of US President Trump. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist Nanos conducted an RDD dual… Continue Reading Consumer confidence hits low not seen since December 2022 (Bloomberg/Nanos)

ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)

The final Globe and Mail/CTV News/Nanos tracking is complete. The interviews were completed today (Sunday April 27) and released the same day. 2025 was a seismic period in federal politics. The year opened with the Conservatives at 47 percent support followed by the Liberals at a lowly 20 percent on the eve of Justin Trudeau’s… Continue Reading ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)

LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 26, 2025)

Less than a handful of percentage points separates the two front running parties on the tracking ending the Saturday before election day.  Support for the Liberals stands at 43.0 percent, followed by the Conservatives at 38.9 percent and the New Democrats at 8.0 percent nationally.  British Columbia is an absolute toss up between the Conservatives… Continue Reading LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1 (Tracking ending April 26, 2025)

LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)

The gap between the two front runners has narrowed to three percentage points as we enter the closing weekend of the campaign. Key movement over the last few days has been in battleground Ontario where the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives is closing.  The Liberal advantage stands at five percentage points, half what… Continue Reading LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3 (Tracking ending April 25, 2025)

LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)

In a nation divided between East and West, the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Ontario, the Conservatives in the Prairies with BC a toss up.  National support for the parties stands at 42.7 percent for the Liberals, 38.4 percent for the Conservatives, 8.3% for the NDP, Bloc at 5.9 percent and the Greens… Continue Reading LPC 42.7, CPC 38.4, NDP 8.3, BQ 5.9, GP 3.2, PPC 1.4 (Tracking ending April 24, 2025)

Canadians are now four times more likely to think Canada should increase its current trade relations...

About two in five Canadians think Canada should keep its trade relationship with China at the current level. However, the appetite to increase its current trade relationship with China has grown compared to 2023. Although similar proportions of both committed Conservative voters and committed Liberal voters prefer maintaining our current trade relationship with China, committed… Continue Reading Canadians are now four times more likely to think Canada should increase its current trade relationship with China compared to 2023 (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/Nanos)

Leadership and platform drive the vote for both Conservatives and Liberals, but with different empha...

Liberals are more likely to be driven by a federal party leader they trust (50%) and a platform or policy they like (17%), while Conservatives are more likely to be driven by a platform or policy they like (37%) and a federal party leader they trust (26%). Of note, the lowest ranking factors are party… Continue Reading Leadership and platform drive the vote for both Conservatives and Liberals, but with different emphasis. (Globe and Mail/ CTV News/ Nanos)

Second-generation and first-generation immigrants more likely to favour the Liberals than the Conser...

The Liberals are more likely to be favoured than Conservatives by second-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 47.0%, CPC 37.1%, NDP 11.1%) and first-generation Canadian citizens (LPC 46.1%, CPC 35.8%, NDP 8.5%). There is a dead heat between Liberals (40.6%) and Conservatives (40.5%) among those with weak or no connection to immigration. Carney leads as the preferred… Continue Reading Second-generation and first-generation immigrants more likely to favour the Liberals than the Conservatives, dead heat among those with weak or no connection to immigration. (CTV News/ Globe and Mail/ Nanos)