4 in 5 Canadians report that it is likely (46%) or somewhat likely (38%) that the US would support Alberta separation. Residents of the Prairies report the highest levels of outright likelihood with 58% saying it is likely that the US would support Alberta separation whereas less than a third of Quebec residents (30%) believe that it is likely that the US would support Alberta separating.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,009 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between January 31st and February 4th, 2026 as part of an omnibus survey. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone using live agents. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
This study was commissioned by the CTV News and the research was conducted by Nanos Research.
Full data tables with weighted and unweighted number of interviews is here
To read the full report, click here.