In addition to noteworthy differences by party affiliation, respondents in the Prairies, Ontario and BC are more likely than respondents in Quebec to say they feel somewhat less safe or less safe than they did ten years ago (45% in the Prairies; 43% in Ontario; 41% in BC; 24% in Quebec). Younger respondents are also more likely than older respondents to say they feel somewhat less safe or less safe in their neighbourhoods (44% for respondents aged 18 to 34; 33% for respondents aged 55 and over).

Further, 51 percent of respondents in the Prairies, 47 percent in BC and 44 percent in Ontario say they somewhat do not trust or do not trust the courts to appropriately punish convicted violent criminals, compared to 30 percent of respondents in Quebec who share the same opinion.

-Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist

The CTV News-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents.  Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same questionnaire online. The random sample may be weighted by age and gender according to the latest Canadian census data. Throughout the election, the interviews are compiled into a three-night rolling average of 1,200 interviews, with the oldest group of 400 interviews being replaced by a new group of 400 each evening. The current data covers the three-night period ending April 16, 2025.

A random survey of 1,351 Canadians is accurate ±2.7 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.

The full methodology is detailed in the technical note in this report. This research was conducted and released in accordance with the standards of the CRIC of which the firm is an accredited member.

Full data tables with weighted and unweighted number of interviews is here: by region age and gender; by vote profile.

To read the full report. Click here.