“Ballot support for the two front runners among all residents is within the margin of error for the CP24/Nanos survey. Chow ahead in Toronto/East York, Bradford leads in North York. The deciding factors in the race will be debate performance and organizational muscle to deliver supporters. The Nanos data reflects public opinion at the time of the survey which ended October 18th. Factoring the upcoming CP24 debate, the race to the finish and the respective ground games of the two front runners, things can still change ahead of the October 26th vote.”
CP24/CTV News Toronto/Nanos conducted a RDD dual frame (cell- and land-lines) hybrid random telephone and online survey of 762 residents of Toronto aged 18 years and over, from October 15th to October 18th, 2026. Respondents were all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. One half of the sample was administered the questionnaire by telephone, and one half was administered online through the Nanos Insights Lab Probability Panel. The random sample was weighted by region, age and gender according to the latest Canadian census data.
A random survey of 762 residents of Toronto is accurate ±3.6 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.
The full methodology is detailed in the technical note in this report. This research was conducted and released in accordance with the standards of the CRIC of which the firm is an accredited member.
Full data tables with weighted and unweighted number of interviews is here.