Canadians are more likely believe that Kamala Harris will win the next U.S presidential election (51%) than Donald Trump (34%); a sharp increase compared to previous wave of research where close to one in four Canadians thought Joe Biden was most likely to win (27%; Trump: 38%).
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,035 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between July 29th to August 1st, 2024, as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
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